Recent mistrials and mixed verdicts in Harvey Weinstein’s New York retrials, combined with ongoing appeals of his 16-year Los Angeles conviction, have driven trader consensus toward no additional prison time at 79.8% implied probability. The disgraced producer, now 74 and facing documented health challenges including cancer, has already served over six years at Rikers while his original 23-year New York sentence was overturned on procedural grounds. The consecutive nature of the California term and recent jury deadlocks on remaining charges create significant uncertainty around further incarceration, with lower-probability outcomes reflecting the possibility of upheld sentences or new convictions. Upcoming appeal rulings remain the key near-term catalysts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Harvey Weinstein入狱时间？
Harvey Weinstein入狱时间？
无监禁时间 79.8%
10-20年 8.9%
20-30年 8.6%
少于5年 3.8%
$1,061,957 交易量
$1,061,957 交易量
2025-12-31
无监禁时间
80%
少于5年
4%
5-10年
3%
10-20年
9%
20-30年
9%
30年以上
2%
无监禁时间 79.8%
10-20年 8.9%
20-30年 8.6%
少于5年 3.8%
$1,061,957 交易量
$1,061,957 交易量
2025-12-31
无监禁时间
$370,629 交易量
80%
少于5年
$139,264 交易量
4%
5-10年
$88,527 交易量
3%
10-20年
$167,999 交易量
9%
20-30年
$211,341 交易量
9%
30年以上
$84,197 交易量
2%
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent mistrials and mixed verdicts in Harvey Weinstein’s New York retrials, combined with ongoing appeals of his 16-year Los Angeles conviction, have driven trader consensus toward no additional prison time at 79.8% implied probability. The disgraced producer, now 74 and facing documented health challenges including cancer, has already served over six years at Rikers while his original 23-year New York sentence was overturned on procedural grounds. The consecutive nature of the California term and recent jury deadlocks on remaining charges create significant uncertainty around further incarceration, with lower-probability outcomes reflecting the possibility of upheld sentences or new convictions. Upcoming appeal rulings remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ET
交易量
$1,061,957结束日期
2025-12-31市场开放时间
May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent mistrials and mixed verdicts in Harvey Weinstein’s New York retrials, combined with ongoing appeals of his 16-year Los Angeles conviction, have driven trader consensus toward no additional prison time at 79.8% implied probability. The disgraced producer, now 74 and facing documented health challenges including cancer, has already served over six years at Rikers while his original 23-year New York sentence was overturned on procedural grounds. The consecutive nature of the California term and recent jury deadlocks on remaining charges create significant uncertainty around further incarceration, with lower-probability outcomes reflecting the possibility of upheld sentences or new convictions. Upcoming appeal rulings remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$1,061,957结束日期
2025-12-31市场开放时间
May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent mistrials and mixed verdicts in Harvey Weinstein’s New York retrials, combined with ongoing appeals of his 16-year Los Angeles conviction, have driven trader consensus toward no additional prison time at 79.8% implied probability. The disgraced producer, now 74 and facing documented health challenges including cancer, has already served over six years at Rikers while his original 23-year New York sentence was overturned on procedural grounds. The consecutive nature of the California term and recent jury deadlocks on remaining charges create significant uncertainty around further incarceration, with lower-probability outcomes reflecting the possibility of upheld sentences or new convictions. Upcoming appeal rulings remain the key near-term catalysts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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