Spider-Man: Brand New Day holds a commanding lead in trader sentiment for 2026’s highest-grossing film, driven by its July 31 release in the heart of the summer blockbuster window, Tom Holland’s proven draw, and the Spider-Man franchise’s consistent billion-dollar potential. Recent summer box-office previews reinforce this positioning, with analysts projecting domestic totals well above $500 million and strong international appeal. Toy Story 5, arriving June 19, offers reliable family-audience momentum but faces steeper competition in a crowded animated slate, while Avengers: Doomsday’s December 18 date leaves it vulnerable to late-year variables. The Odyssey’s July slot adds direct rivalry, yet market-implied odds reflect Spidey’s superior historical precedent and current pre-release tracking.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于2026年票房最高的电影?
蜘蛛侠:全新一天 57%
复仇者联盟:末日审判 19%
玩具总动员5 13.4%
超级马里奥银河电影 4.1%
$9,746,689 交易量
$9,746,689 交易量
蜘蛛侠:全新一天
57%
复仇者联盟:末日审判
19%
玩具总动员5
13%
超级马里奥银河电影
4%
奥德赛
3%
迈克尔
1%
沙丘:弥赛亚
1%
魔法坏女巫:为善
1%
惊声尖叫7
1%
呼啸山庄
1%
海尔·玛丽计划
1%
饥饿游戏:收获的黎明
1%
勇敢者游戏3
1%
星球大战:曼达洛人和格罗古
<1%
蜘蛛侠:全新一天 57%
复仇者联盟:末日审判 19%
玩具总动员5 13.4%
超级马里奥银河电影 4.1%
$9,746,689 交易量
$9,746,689 交易量
蜘蛛侠:全新一天
57%
复仇者联盟:末日审判
19%
玩具总动员5
13%
超级马里奥银河电影
4%
奥德赛
3%
迈克尔
1%
沙丘:弥赛亚
1%
魔法坏女巫:为善
1%
惊声尖叫7
1%
呼啸山庄
1%
海尔·玛丽计划
1%
饥饿游戏:收获的黎明
1%
勇敢者游戏3
1%
星球大战:曼达洛人和格罗古
<1%
Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross.
In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner.
If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
市场开放时间: Nov 12, 2025, 11:53 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross.
In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner.
If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Spider-Man: Brand New Day holds a commanding lead in trader sentiment for 2026’s highest-grossing film, driven by its July 31 release in the heart of the summer blockbuster window, Tom Holland’s proven draw, and the Spider-Man franchise’s consistent billion-dollar potential. Recent summer box-office previews reinforce this positioning, with analysts projecting domestic totals well above $500 million and strong international appeal. Toy Story 5, arriving June 19, offers reliable family-audience momentum but faces steeper competition in a crowded animated slate, while Avengers: Doomsday’s December 18 date leaves it vulnerable to late-year variables. The Odyssey’s July slot adds direct rivalry, yet market-implied odds reflect Spidey’s superior historical precedent and current pre-release tracking.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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