US opposition to any arrangement granting Iran joint management or toll authority over the Strait of Hormuz has solidified trader expectations against a bilateral Iran-Oman agreement by June 15. President Trump has publicly rejected draft frameworks involving shared traffic oversight, issued direct warnings to Oman against cooperation with Tehran, and affirmed that sanctions and blockade measures remain in place amid stalled US-Iran talks. Ongoing military exchanges and Iranian assertions of control further reduce the scope for rapid bilateral progress. While Oman maintains its mediating role and earlier discussions on monitoring protocols occurred, the combination of explicit US red lines, unresolved core disputes, and the short timeline leaves little room for an accord to emerge before the deadline. Late diplomatic shifts or verified de-escalation could still alter the outlook.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$12,200 交易量
$12,200 交易量
2026-06-15
$12,200 交易量
$12,200 交易量
2026-06-15
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement relating to vessel traffic, transit management, tolling, or fee collection in the Strait of Hormuz, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between Iran and Oman between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Statements describing talks, proposals, negotiations, or non-finalized frameworks that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not qualify.
An agreement will qualify as a mutual agreement if it is confirmed as a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if the agreement isn’t formally announced by both governments.
Agreements that include Iran and Oman as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Iran and Oman; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.US opposition to any arrangement granting Iran joint management or toll authority over the Strait of Hormuz has solidified trader expectations against a bilateral Iran-Oman agreement by June 15. President Trump has publicly rejected draft frameworks involving shared traffic oversight, issued direct warnings to Oman against cooperation with Tehran, and affirmed that sanctions and blockade measures remain in place amid stalled US-Iran talks. Ongoing military exchanges and Iranian assertions of control further reduce the scope for rapid bilateral progress. While Oman maintains its mediating role and earlier discussions on monitoring protocols occurred, the combination of explicit US red lines, unresolved core disputes, and the short timeline leaves little room for an accord to emerge before the deadline. Late diplomatic shifts or verified de-escalation could still alter the outlook.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement relating to vessel traffic, transit management, tolling, or fee collection in the Strait of Hormuz, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between Iran and Oman between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Statements describing talks, proposals, negotiations, or non-finalized frameworks that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not qualify.
An agreement will qualify as a mutual agreement if it is confirmed as a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if the agreement isn’t formally announced by both governments.
Agreements that include Iran and Oman as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Iran and Oman; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Statements describing talks, proposals, negotiations, or non-finalized frameworks that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not qualify.
An agreement will qualify as a mutual agreement if it is confirmed as a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if the agreement isn’t formally announced by both governments.
Agreements that include Iran and Oman as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Iran and Oman; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
市场开放时间： May 22, 2026, 5:04 PM ET
交易量
$12,200结束日期
2026-06-15市场开放时间
May 22, 2026, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement relating to vessel traffic, transit management, tolling, or fee collection in the Strait of Hormuz, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between Iran and Oman between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Statements describing talks, proposals, negotiations, or non-finalized frameworks that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not qualify.
An agreement will qualify as a mutual agreement if it is confirmed as a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if the agreement isn’t formally announced by both governments.
Agreements that include Iran and Oman as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Iran and Oman; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.US opposition to any arrangement granting Iran joint management or toll authority over the Strait of Hormuz has solidified trader expectations against a bilateral Iran-Oman agreement by June 15. President Trump has publicly rejected draft frameworks involving shared traffic oversight, issued direct warnings to Oman against cooperation with Tehran, and affirmed that sanctions and blockade measures remain in place amid stalled US-Iran talks. Ongoing military exchanges and Iranian assertions of control further reduce the scope for rapid bilateral progress. While Oman maintains its mediating role and earlier discussions on monitoring protocols occurred, the combination of explicit US red lines, unresolved core disputes, and the short timeline leaves little room for an accord to emerge before the deadline. Late diplomatic shifts or verified de-escalation could still alter the outlook.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement relating to vessel traffic, transit management, tolling, or fee collection in the Strait of Hormuz, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between Iran and Oman between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Statements describing talks, proposals, negotiations, or non-finalized frameworks that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not qualify.
An agreement will qualify as a mutual agreement if it is confirmed as a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if the agreement isn’t formally announced by both governments.
Agreements that include Iran and Oman as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Iran and Oman; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Statements describing talks, proposals, negotiations, or non-finalized frameworks that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not qualify.
An agreement will qualify as a mutual agreement if it is confirmed as a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if the agreement isn’t formally announced by both governments.
Agreements that include Iran and Oman as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Iran and Oman; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
交易量
$12,200结束日期
2026-06-15市场开放时间
May 22, 2026, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US opposition to any arrangement granting Iran joint management or toll authority over the Strait of Hormuz has solidified trader expectations against a bilateral Iran-Oman agreement by June 15. President Trump has publicly rejected draft frameworks involving shared traffic oversight, issued direct warnings to Oman against cooperation with Tehran, and affirmed that sanctions and blockade measures remain in place amid stalled US-Iran talks. Ongoing military exchanges and Iranian assertions of control further reduce the scope for rapid bilateral progress. While Oman maintains its mediating role and earlier discussions on monitoring protocols occurred, the combination of explicit US red lines, unresolved core disputes, and the short timeline leaves little room for an accord to emerge before the deadline. Late diplomatic shifts or verified de-escalation could still alter the outlook.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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