Reza Pahlavi, the exiled son of Iran's last shah, has outlined a detailed transition framework including a 100-day interim period and the Iran Prosperity Project, emphasizing a referendum and internationally supervised elections if the current regime collapses. Following U.S.-Israel strikes and the February 2026 death of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, Pahlavi stated he stands ready to return as soon as conditions allow, whether before or after any power shift. Iranian authorities maintain firm control, with protests and opposition activity continuing but no verified path for his entry. Traders assess low near-term odds due to security barriers, ongoing government authority, and the absence of regime change or official invitation that would enable safe physical return before late 2026 deadlines.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$19,897,480 交易量
6月30日
1%
12月31日
11%
$19,897,480 交易量
6月30日
1%
12月31日
11%
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Reza Pahlavi physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not Reza Pahlavi enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间: Jan 3, 2026, 3:06 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Reza Pahlavi physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not Reza Pahlavi enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Reza Pahlavi, the exiled son of Iran's last shah, has outlined a detailed transition framework including a 100-day interim period and the Iran Prosperity Project, emphasizing a referendum and internationally supervised elections if the current regime collapses. Following U.S.-Israel strikes and the February 2026 death of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, Pahlavi stated he stands ready to return as soon as conditions allow, whether before or after any power shift. Iranian authorities maintain firm control, with protests and opposition activity continuing but no verified path for his entry. Traders assess low near-term odds due to security barriers, ongoing government authority, and the absence of regime change or official invitation that would enable safe physical return before late 2026 deadlines.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题