Andy Burnham leads the Makerfield by-election market due to his selection as Labour’s candidate following Josh Simons’ May 14 resignation, which created the vacancy to enable Burnham’s parliamentary return and potential leadership bid. As Greater Manchester mayor with strong regional recognition, he benefits from party infrastructure and historical Labour dominance in the seat. Robert Kenyon, Reform UK’s local plumber and councillor, trails amid the party’s recent local election gains in the constituency but faces structural disadvantages against Burnham’s profile. Nominations closed May 26 ahead of the June 18 vote, with other candidates remaining marginal. Trader pricing reflects these candidate dynamics and the closely watched contest’s implications for UK opposition politics.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Andy Burnham 77%
Robert Kenyon 22%
丽贝卡·谢泼德 2.1%
Simon Finkelstein <1%
$1,886,783 交易量
$1,886,783 交易量
Andy Burnham
77%
Robert Kenyon
22%
丽贝卡·谢泼德
2%
Simon Finkelstein
<1%
Maria Deery
<1%
John Skipworth
<1%
James Thomas Bryer
<1%
Andy Burnham 77%
Robert Kenyon 22%
丽贝卡·谢泼德 2.1%
Simon Finkelstein <1%
$1,886,783 交易量
$1,886,783 交易量
Andy Burnham
77%
Robert Kenyon
22%
丽贝卡·谢泼德
2%
Simon Finkelstein
<1%
Maria Deery
<1%
John Skipworth
<1%
James Thomas Bryer
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
市场开放时间: May 14, 2026, 7:43 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Andy Burnham leads the Makerfield by-election market due to his selection as Labour’s candidate following Josh Simons’ May 14 resignation, which created the vacancy to enable Burnham’s parliamentary return and potential leadership bid. As Greater Manchester mayor with strong regional recognition, he benefits from party infrastructure and historical Labour dominance in the seat. Robert Kenyon, Reform UK’s local plumber and councillor, trails amid the party’s recent local election gains in the constituency but faces structural disadvantages against Burnham’s profile. Nominations closed May 26 ahead of the June 18 vote, with other candidates remaining marginal. Trader pricing reflects these candidate dynamics and the closely watched contest’s implications for UK opposition politics.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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