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icon for No-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez by June 30?

No-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez by June 30?

icon for No-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez by June 30?

No-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez by June 30?

11% 概率
Polymarket
最新
11% 概率
Polymarket
最新
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a motion of no-confidence against Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez or the sitting Government of Spain is voted upon in the Congress of Deputies of Spain by June 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A “motion of no-confidence” refers to a formal motion of censure under Spain’s constitutional procedures, including a candidate to replace Sanchez as Prime Minister. Informal calls for Sánchez to resign, requests for a confidence vote, parliamentary criticism, or other non-binding political statements will not qualify. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Spain's minority government under Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez faces ongoing corruption investigations involving party figures and associates, prompting opposition calls from the Popular Party and Vox for his resignation or early elections. However, Sánchez has ruled out stepping down before the 2027 term ends and rejected submitting to a confidence vote. Key parliamentary partners, including Catalan pro-independence parties such as Junts, have explicitly declined to support any no-confidence motion, citing reluctance to risk a shift toward right-wing or far-right leadership. This congressional arithmetic leaves opposition parties without the votes needed to table or pass such a motion before the June 30 deadline, sustaining trader consensus against its occurrence.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a motion of no-confidence against Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez or the sitting Government of Spain is voted upon in the Congress of Deputies of Spain by June 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A “motion of no-confidence” refers to a formal motion of censure under Spain’s constitutional procedures, including a candidate to replace Sanchez as Prime Minister. Informal calls for Sánchez to resign, requests for a confidence vote, parliamentary criticism, or other non-binding political statements will not qualify.

The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$4,886
结束日期
2026-06-30
市场开放时间
May 21, 2026, 5:03 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a motion of no-confidence against Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez or the sitting Government of Spain is voted upon in the Congress of Deputies of Spain by June 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A “motion of no-confidence” refers to a formal motion of censure under Spain’s constitutional procedures, including a candidate to replace Sanchez as Prime Minister. Informal calls for Sánchez to resign, requests for a confidence vote, parliamentary criticism, or other non-binding political statements will not qualify. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a motion of no-confidence against Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez or the sitting Government of Spain is voted upon in the Congress of Deputies of Spain by June 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A “motion of no-confidence” refers to a formal motion of censure under Spain’s constitutional procedures, including a candidate to replace Sanchez as Prime Minister. Informal calls for Sánchez to resign, requests for a confidence vote, parliamentary criticism, or other non-binding political statements will not qualify. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Spain's minority government under Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez faces ongoing corruption investigations involving party figures and associates, prompting opposition calls from the Popular Party and Vox for his resignation or early elections. However, Sánchez has ruled out stepping down before the 2027 term ends and rejected submitting to a confidence vote. Key parliamentary partners, including Catalan pro-independence parties such as Junts, have explicitly declined to support any no-confidence motion, citing reluctance to risk a shift toward right-wing or far-right leadership. This congressional arithmetic leaves opposition parties without the votes needed to table or pass such a motion before the June 30 deadline, sustaining trader consensus against its occurrence.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a motion of no-confidence against Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez or the sitting Government of Spain is voted upon in the Congress of Deputies of Spain by June 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A “motion of no-confidence” refers to a formal motion of censure under Spain’s constitutional procedures, including a candidate to replace Sanchez as Prime Minister. Informal calls for Sánchez to resign, requests for a confidence vote, parliamentary criticism, or other non-binding political statements will not qualify.

The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$4,886
结束日期
2026-06-30
市场开放时间
May 21, 2026, 5:03 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a motion of no-confidence against Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez or the sitting Government of Spain is voted upon in the Congress of Deputies of Spain by June 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A “motion of no-confidence” refers to a formal motion of censure under Spain’s constitutional procedures, including a candidate to replace Sanchez as Prime Minister. Informal calls for Sánchez to resign, requests for a confidence vote, parliamentary criticism, or other non-binding political statements will not qualify. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"No-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez by June 30?"是 Polymarket 上的一个预测市场,交易者根据自己对事件是否会发生的判断买卖"是"或"否"的份额。当前社区预测的概率为 11%("Yes")。例如,如果"是"的价格为 11¢,则市场集体认为该事件发生的概率为 11%。这些赔率会随着交易者对新动态和信息的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"No-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez by June 30?"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场,于May 21, 2026上线。作为一个新市场,这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签,以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"No-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez by June 30?"上交易,只需选择你认为答案是"是"还是"否"。每一方都有一个反映市场隐含概率的当前价格。输入你的金额并点击"交易"。如果你买入"是"的份额且结果为"是",每份支付 $1。如果结果为"否",你的"是"份额支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额以锁定利润或止损。

"No-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez by June 30?"的当前概率为 11%("Yes")。这意味着 Polymarket 社区目前认为该事件发生的概率为 11%。这些赔率基于实际交易实时更新,持续提供市场预期信号。

"No-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez by June 30?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。