OpenAI’s preparation for a confidential U.S. IPO filing, with bankers including Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley, has emerged as the dominant driver of trader sentiment on its potential closing market capitalization. The company’s most recent private round valued it at $852 billion in March 2026, yet forward-looking expectations incorporate rapid revenue growth alongside persistent losses and a competitive race with Anthropic, which confidentially filed earlier this week. Market-implied odds, led by the 1.5T+ bucket at 32.4 percent followed closely by the 1T–1.25T range at 23.1 percent, reflect trader assessment of whether IPO pricing will exceed recent private levels amid regulatory review, market conditions, and execution risks through a potential 2026 or 2027 listing window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于1.5万亿以上 32.4%
7500亿–1万亿 16%
1.25万亿–1.5万亿 15%
1万亿–1.25万亿 8.7%
$19,103 交易量
$19,103 交易量
2027-12-31
低于5000亿
4%
5000亿–7500亿美元
8%
7500亿–1万亿
16%
1万亿–1.25万亿
23%
1.25万亿–1.5万亿
15%
1.5万亿以上
32%
2027年12月31日前不进行IPO
13%
1.5万亿以上 32.4%
7500亿–1万亿 16%
1.25万亿–1.5万亿 15%
1万亿–1.25万亿 8.7%
$19,103 交易量
$19,103 交易量
2027-12-31
低于5000亿
$367 交易量
4%
5000亿–7500亿美元
$604 交易量
8%
7500亿–1万亿
$605 交易量
16%
1万亿–1.25万亿
$3,483 交易量
23%
1.25万亿–1.5万亿
$1,042 交易量
15%
1.5万亿以上
$801 交易量
32%
2027年12月31日前不进行IPO
$12,200 交易量
13%
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.OpenAI’s preparation for a confidential U.S. IPO filing, with bankers including Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley, has emerged as the dominant driver of trader sentiment on its potential closing market capitalization. The company’s most recent private round valued it at $852 billion in March 2026, yet forward-looking expectations incorporate rapid revenue growth alongside persistent losses and a competitive race with Anthropic, which confidentially filed earlier this week. Market-implied odds, led by the 1.5T+ bucket at 32.4 percent followed closely by the 1T–1.25T range at 23.1 percent, reflect trader assessment of whether IPO pricing will exceed recent private levels amid regulatory review, market conditions, and execution risks through a potential 2026 or 2027 listing window.
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
市场开放时间： Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ET
交易量
$19,103结束日期
2027-12-31市场开放时间
Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.OpenAI’s preparation for a confidential U.S. IPO filing, with bankers including Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley, has emerged as the dominant driver of trader sentiment on its potential closing market capitalization. The company’s most recent private round valued it at $852 billion in March 2026, yet forward-looking expectations incorporate rapid revenue growth alongside persistent losses and a competitive race with Anthropic, which confidentially filed earlier this week. Market-implied odds, led by the 1.5T+ bucket at 32.4 percent followed closely by the 1T–1.25T range at 23.1 percent, reflect trader assessment of whether IPO pricing will exceed recent private levels amid regulatory review, market conditions, and execution risks through a potential 2026 or 2027 listing window.
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
交易量
$19,103结束日期
2027-12-31市场开放时间
Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...OpenAI’s preparation for a confidential U.S. IPO filing, with bankers including Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley, has emerged as the dominant driver of trader sentiment on its potential closing market capitalization. The company’s most recent private round valued it at $852 billion in March 2026, yet forward-looking expectations incorporate rapid revenue growth alongside persistent losses and a competitive race with Anthropic, which confidentially filed earlier this week. Market-implied odds, led by the 1.5T+ bucket at 32.4 percent followed closely by the 1T–1.25T range at 23.1 percent, reflect trader assessment of whether IPO pricing will exceed recent private levels amid regulatory review, market conditions, and execution risks through a potential 2026 or 2027 listing window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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