The May 31 first-round results confirmed Paloma Valencia received under 10 percent, as right-wing voters consolidated behind independent Abelardo de la Espriella’s tougher anti-crime platform. Valencia, the Democratic Center senator backed by former President Álvaro Uribe, positioned herself as the establishment center-right option after winning her March primary, yet she trailed both the left-wing Historic Pact candidate Iván Cepeda and the surging outsider in final polling. This split prevented her from advancing, consistent with historical patterns where fragmented conservative support favors populist challengers in Colombia’s two-round system. A late consolidation of her base or stronger turnout among traditional Uribista voters could have altered the outcome, though pre-election surveys already signaled limited room for such movement.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Paloma Valencia vote share in 2026 Colombian presidential first round?
Paloma Valencia vote share in 2026 Colombian presidential first round?
<10% 98.6%
10-15% <1%
20-25% <1%
25-30% <1%
$12,093 交易量
$12,093 交易量
2026-05-31
<10%
99%
10-15%
1%
15-20%
<1%
20-25%
1%
25-30%
1%
30-35%
<1%
35%+
<1%
<10% 98.6%
10-15% <1%
20-25% <1%
25-30% <1%
$12,093 交易量
$12,093 交易量
2026-05-31
<10%
$6,438 交易量
99%
10-15%
$1,371 交易量
1%
15-20%
$296 交易量
<1%
20-25%
$949 交易量
1%
25-30%
$2,327 交易量
1%
30-35%
$466 交易量
<1%
35%+
$245 交易量
<1%
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Paloma Valencia wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Paloma Valencia, not any coalition of which she may be a part.
If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.The May 31 first-round results confirmed Paloma Valencia received under 10 percent, as right-wing voters consolidated behind independent Abelardo de la Espriella’s tougher anti-crime platform. Valencia, the Democratic Center senator backed by former President Álvaro Uribe, positioned herself as the establishment center-right option after winning her March primary, yet she trailed both the left-wing Historic Pact candidate Iván Cepeda and the surging outsider in final polling. This split prevented her from advancing, consistent with historical patterns where fragmented conservative support favors populist challengers in Colombia’s two-round system. A late consolidation of her base or stronger turnout among traditional Uribista voters could have altered the outcome, though pre-election surveys already signaled limited room for such movement.
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Paloma Valencia wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Paloma Valencia, not any coalition of which she may be a part.
If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Paloma Valencia wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Paloma Valencia, not any coalition of which she may be a part.
If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
市场开放时间： May 27, 2026, 12:06 PM ET
交易量
$12,093结束日期
2026-05-31市场开放时间
May 27, 2026, 12:06 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Paloma Valencia wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Paloma Valencia, not any coalition of which she may be a part.
If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.The May 31 first-round results confirmed Paloma Valencia received under 10 percent, as right-wing voters consolidated behind independent Abelardo de la Espriella’s tougher anti-crime platform. Valencia, the Democratic Center senator backed by former President Álvaro Uribe, positioned herself as the establishment center-right option after winning her March primary, yet she trailed both the left-wing Historic Pact candidate Iván Cepeda and the surging outsider in final polling. This split prevented her from advancing, consistent with historical patterns where fragmented conservative support favors populist challengers in Colombia’s two-round system. A late consolidation of her base or stronger turnout among traditional Uribista voters could have altered the outcome, though pre-election surveys already signaled limited room for such movement.
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Paloma Valencia wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Paloma Valencia, not any coalition of which she may be a part.
If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Paloma Valencia wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Paloma Valencia, not any coalition of which she may be a part.
If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
交易量
$12,093结束日期
2026-05-31市场开放时间
May 27, 2026, 12:06 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The May 31 first-round results confirmed Paloma Valencia received under 10 percent, as right-wing voters consolidated behind independent Abelardo de la Espriella’s tougher anti-crime platform. Valencia, the Democratic Center senator backed by former President Álvaro Uribe, positioned herself as the establishment center-right option after winning her March primary, yet she trailed both the left-wing Historic Pact candidate Iván Cepeda and the surging outsider in final polling. This split prevented her from advancing, consistent with historical patterns where fragmented conservative support favors populist challengers in Colombia’s two-round system. A late consolidation of her base or stronger turnout among traditional Uribista voters could have altered the outcome, though pre-election surveys already signaled limited room for such movement.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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