Recent polls show the Parti Québécois and Quebec Liberal Party locked in a tight popular vote contest near 30 percent each ahead of the October 5, 2026, election, while the Coalition Avenir Québec has climbed to around 20 percent under its new leader following François Legault’s January resignation. Traders assign the Parti Québécois a 57.5 percent probability of winning the most seats, reflecting its stronger concentration of support among Francophone voters and projections from models like 338Canada that translate modest popular vote edges into large seat advantages. The Liberals sit at 27.5 percent amid competitive urban strength, the CAQ at 16.5 percent after recent gains, and minor parties remain below 1 percent with limited prospects. The race remains sensitive to campaign developments and regional turnout patterns over the next four months.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于魁人党 57%
魁北克自由党 28%
魁人党 17%
魁北克保守党 <1%
$544,351 交易量
$544,351 交易量
2026-10-05
魁人党
57%
魁北克自由党
28%
魁人党
17%
魁北克保守党
<1%
魁团
<1%
魁北克绿党
<1%
魁人党 57%
魁北克自由党 28%
魁人党 17%
魁北克保守党 <1%
$544,351 交易量
$544,351 交易量
2026-10-05
魁人党
$56,006 交易量
57%
魁北克自由党
$59,344 交易量
28%
魁人党
$67,384 交易量
17%
魁北克保守党
$168,870 交易量
<1%
魁团
$70,276 交易量
<1%
魁北克绿党
$122,472 交易量
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polls show the Parti Québécois and Quebec Liberal Party locked in a tight popular vote contest near 30 percent each ahead of the October 5, 2026, election, while the Coalition Avenir Québec has climbed to around 20 percent under its new leader following François Legault’s January resignation. Traders assign the Parti Québécois a 57.5 percent probability of winning the most seats, reflecting its stronger concentration of support among Francophone voters and projections from models like 338Canada that translate modest popular vote edges into large seat advantages. The Liberals sit at 27.5 percent amid competitive urban strength, the CAQ at 16.5 percent after recent gains, and minor parties remain below 1 percent with limited prospects. The race remains sensitive to campaign developments and regional turnout patterns over the next four months.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
市场开放时间： Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ET
交易量
$544,351结束日期
2026-10-05市场开放时间
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polls show the Parti Québécois and Quebec Liberal Party locked in a tight popular vote contest near 30 percent each ahead of the October 5, 2026, election, while the Coalition Avenir Québec has climbed to around 20 percent under its new leader following François Legault’s January resignation. Traders assign the Parti Québécois a 57.5 percent probability of winning the most seats, reflecting its stronger concentration of support among Francophone voters and projections from models like 338Canada that translate modest popular vote edges into large seat advantages. The Liberals sit at 27.5 percent amid competitive urban strength, the CAQ at 16.5 percent after recent gains, and minor parties remain below 1 percent with limited prospects. The race remains sensitive to campaign developments and regional turnout patterns over the next four months.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
交易量
$544,351结束日期
2026-10-05市场开放时间
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polls show the Parti Québécois and Quebec Liberal Party locked in a tight popular vote contest near 30 percent each ahead of the October 5, 2026, election, while the Coalition Avenir Québec has climbed to around 20 percent under its new leader following François Legault’s January resignation. Traders assign the Parti Québécois a 57.5 percent probability of winning the most seats, reflecting its stronger concentration of support among Francophone voters and projections from models like 338Canada that translate modest popular vote edges into large seat advantages. The Liberals sit at 27.5 percent amid competitive urban strength, the CAQ at 16.5 percent after recent gains, and minor parties remain below 1 percent with limited prospects. The race remains sensitive to campaign developments and regional turnout patterns over the next four months.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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