Recent polls through May 2026 show the Parti Québécois holding a narrow lead or tie with the Quebec Liberal Party in popular vote intentions ahead of the October 5 election, while the Coalition Avenir Québec trails after Premier François Legault’s January resignation triggered further declines. The PQ’s consistent positioning as the top or co-leading party since late 2023, combined with its stronger projected seat distribution under first-past-the-post, underpins the market’s 57.5% implied probability for a PQ plurality. Traders appear to weigh the Liberals’ concentrated urban support against the CAQ’s weakened francophone base, with smaller parties remaining marginal in both polling and pricing.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于魁人党 57%
魁北克自由党 28%
魁人党 17%
魁北克保守党 <1%
$544,536 交易量
$544,536 交易量
2026-10-05
魁人党
57%
魁北克自由党
28%
魁人党
17%
魁北克保守党
<1%
魁团
<1%
魁北克绿党
<1%
魁人党 57%
魁北克自由党 28%
魁人党 17%
魁北克保守党 <1%
$544,536 交易量
$544,536 交易量
2026-10-05
魁人党
$56,034 交易量
57%
魁北克自由党
$59,369 交易量
28%
魁人党
$67,411 交易量
17%
魁北克保守党
$168,922 交易量
<1%
魁团
$70,303 交易量
<1%
魁北克绿党
$122,499 交易量
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polls through May 2026 show the Parti Québécois holding a narrow lead or tie with the Quebec Liberal Party in popular vote intentions ahead of the October 5 election, while the Coalition Avenir Québec trails after Premier François Legault’s January resignation triggered further declines. The PQ’s consistent positioning as the top or co-leading party since late 2023, combined with its stronger projected seat distribution under first-past-the-post, underpins the market’s 57.5% implied probability for a PQ plurality. Traders appear to weigh the Liberals’ concentrated urban support against the CAQ’s weakened francophone base, with smaller parties remaining marginal in both polling and pricing.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
市场开放时间： Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ET
交易量
$544,536结束日期
2026-10-05市场开放时间
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polls through May 2026 show the Parti Québécois holding a narrow lead or tie with the Quebec Liberal Party in popular vote intentions ahead of the October 5 election, while the Coalition Avenir Québec trails after Premier François Legault’s January resignation triggered further declines. The PQ’s consistent positioning as the top or co-leading party since late 2023, combined with its stronger projected seat distribution under first-past-the-post, underpins the market’s 57.5% implied probability for a PQ plurality. Traders appear to weigh the Liberals’ concentrated urban support against the CAQ’s weakened francophone base, with smaller parties remaining marginal in both polling and pricing.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
交易量
$544,536结束日期
2026-10-05市场开放时间
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polls through May 2026 show the Parti Québécois holding a narrow lead or tie with the Quebec Liberal Party in popular vote intentions ahead of the October 5 election, while the Coalition Avenir Québec trails after Premier François Legault’s January resignation triggered further declines. The PQ’s consistent positioning as the top or co-leading party since late 2023, combined with its stronger projected seat distribution under first-past-the-post, underpins the market’s 57.5% implied probability for a PQ plurality. Traders appear to weigh the Liberals’ concentrated urban support against the CAQ’s weakened francophone base, with smaller parties remaining marginal in both polling and pricing.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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