Somaliland’s parliamentary elections, originally slated for May or June 2026 alongside municipal polls, have been postponed to March 2027 amid logistical preparations, voter registration disputes, and clan-based representation concerns. This delay under the Waddani-led administration of President Abdirahman Mohamed Abdullahi Irro, who took office after the November 2024 presidential vote, underpins trader consensus that no election will occur before 2027. Waddani benefits from incumbency advantages in any future contest, while smaller parties UCID and Kulmiye trail. Structural factors including the three-party system and House of Representatives term extensions continue to shape timelines, with the current schedule reflecting repeated historical patterns of deferral in Somaliland’s electoral process.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于2027年前没有选举 63%
正义与福利党(UCID) 4.8%
库尔米耶 1.6%
瓦达尼 0
$18,524 交易量
$18,524 交易量

2027年前没有选举
71%

正义与福利党(UCID)
5%

库尔米耶
2%

瓦达尼
31%
2027年前没有选举 63%
正义与福利党(UCID) 4.8%
库尔米耶 1.6%
瓦达尼 0
$18,524 交易量
$18,524 交易量

2027年前没有选举
71%

正义与福利党(UCID)
5%

库尔米耶
2%

瓦达尼
31%
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
市场开放时间: Dec 16, 2025, 3:30 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Somaliland’s parliamentary elections, originally slated for May or June 2026 alongside municipal polls, have been postponed to March 2027 amid logistical preparations, voter registration disputes, and clan-based representation concerns. This delay under the Waddani-led administration of President Abdirahman Mohamed Abdullahi Irro, who took office after the November 2024 presidential vote, underpins trader consensus that no election will occur before 2027. Waddani benefits from incumbency advantages in any future contest, while smaller parties UCID and Kulmiye trail. Structural factors including the three-party system and House of Representatives term extensions continue to shape timelines, with the current schedule reflecting repeated historical patterns of deferral in Somaliland’s electoral process.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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