Somaliland’s parliamentary elections, originally slated for May 2026 alongside municipal contests, have faced repeated delays, with the latest extension pushing the vote to March 2027 and driving the 71 percent market probability on no election before then. Recent term extensions approved in early 2026, including a reported 27-month mandate prolongation, reflect ongoing institutional and logistical challenges in the self-declared republic’s electoral process. Waddani, the party of President Abdirahman Mohamed Abdilahi “Irro” following its 2024 presidential victory, holds the strongest position among the three recognized national parties at 29.7 percent, while Kulmiye and UCID trail significantly amid the uncertainty over timing and the three-party system’s constraints. These developments underscore how procedural extensions continue to shape trader assessments of election feasibility and party prospects.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于2027年前没有选举 63%
正义与福利党（UCID） 4.8%
库尔米耶 1.6%
瓦达尼 0
$18,524 交易量
$18,524 交易量
2026-03-31
2027年前没有选举
72%
正义与福利党（UCID）
5%
库尔米耶
2%
瓦达尼
31%
2027年前没有选举 63%
正义与福利党（UCID） 4.8%
库尔米耶 1.6%
瓦达尼 0
$18,524 交易量
$18,524 交易量
2026-03-31
2027年前没有选举
$10,077 交易量
72%
正义与福利党（UCID）
$3,902 交易量
5%
库尔米耶
$2,477 交易量
2%
瓦达尼
$2,068 交易量
31%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).Somaliland’s parliamentary elections, originally slated for May 2026 alongside municipal contests, have faced repeated delays, with the latest extension pushing the vote to March 2027 and driving the 71 percent market probability on no election before then. Recent term extensions approved in early 2026, including a reported 27-month mandate prolongation, reflect ongoing institutional and logistical challenges in the self-declared republic’s electoral process. Waddani, the party of President Abdirahman Mohamed Abdilahi “Irro” following its 2024 presidential victory, holds the strongest position among the three recognized national parties at 29.7 percent, while Kulmiye and UCID trail significantly amid the uncertainty over timing and the three-party system’s constraints. These developments underscore how procedural extensions continue to shape trader assessments of election feasibility and party prospects.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 3:30 PM ET
交易量
$18,524结束日期
2026-03-31市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 3:30 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).Somaliland’s parliamentary elections, originally slated for May 2026 alongside municipal contests, have faced repeated delays, with the latest extension pushing the vote to March 2027 and driving the 71 percent market probability on no election before then. Recent term extensions approved in early 2026, including a reported 27-month mandate prolongation, reflect ongoing institutional and logistical challenges in the self-declared republic’s electoral process. Waddani, the party of President Abdirahman Mohamed Abdilahi “Irro” following its 2024 presidential victory, holds the strongest position among the three recognized national parties at 29.7 percent, while Kulmiye and UCID trail significantly amid the uncertainty over timing and the three-party system’s constraints. These developments underscore how procedural extensions continue to shape trader assessments of election feasibility and party prospects.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
交易量
$18,524结束日期
2026-03-31市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 3:30 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Somaliland’s parliamentary elections, originally slated for May 2026 alongside municipal contests, have faced repeated delays, with the latest extension pushing the vote to March 2027 and driving the 71 percent market probability on no election before then. Recent term extensions approved in early 2026, including a reported 27-month mandate prolongation, reflect ongoing institutional and logistical challenges in the self-declared republic’s electoral process. Waddani, the party of President Abdirahman Mohamed Abdilahi “Irro” following its 2024 presidential victory, holds the strongest position among the three recognized national parties at 29.7 percent, while Kulmiye and UCID trail significantly amid the uncertainty over timing and the three-party system’s constraints. These developments underscore how procedural extensions continue to shape trader assessments of election feasibility and party prospects.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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