Recent surges in South Korea's consumer price index, reaching 3.1% year-over-year in May 2026 after 2.6% in April, have driven the leading market-implied odds for 3.0%+ annual inflation this year to 43.5%. Elevated oil prices tied to Middle East tensions fueled the acceleration, prompting the Bank of Korea to lift its full-year 2026 forecast to 2.7% while holding the policy rate steady at 2.5%. Tightly clustered probabilities across the 2.1–2.9% bands reflect trader uncertainty over whether commodity pressures will persist or moderate amid resilient semiconductor exports and a softer won. Key upcoming catalysts include June CPI data and further central bank communications on the rate path.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于3.0%及以上 41%
2.4%到2.6% 36.9%
1.5%到1.7% 6%
低于1.5% 4.0%
$11,228 交易量
$11,228 交易量
低于1.5%
4%
1.5%到1.7%
6%
1.8%到2.0%
30%
2.1%到2.3%
36%
2.4%到2.6%
37%
2.7%至2.9%
34%
3.0%及以上
41%
3.0%及以上 41%
2.4%到2.6% 36.9%
1.5%到1.7% 6%
低于1.5% 4.0%
$11,228 交易量
$11,228 交易量
低于1.5%
4%
1.5%到1.7%
6%
1.8%到2.0%
30%
2.1%到2.3%
36%
2.4%到2.6%
37%
2.7%至2.9%
34%
3.0%及以上
41%
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
市场开放时间: Feb 6, 2026, 5:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent surges in South Korea's consumer price index, reaching 3.1% year-over-year in May 2026 after 2.6% in April, have driven the leading market-implied odds for 3.0%+ annual inflation this year to 43.5%. Elevated oil prices tied to Middle East tensions fueled the acceleration, prompting the Bank of Korea to lift its full-year 2026 forecast to 2.7% while holding the policy rate steady at 2.5%. Tightly clustered probabilities across the 2.1–2.9% bands reflect trader uncertainty over whether commodity pressures will persist or moderate amid resilient semiconductor exports and a softer won. Key upcoming catalysts include June CPI data and further central bank communications on the rate path.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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