Bilateral negotiations have advanced trader expectations for a US-China tariff agreement by year-end. The May 2026 Trump-Xi summit produced commitments on expanded US agricultural purchases, rare earth access, and the creation of bilateral Boards of Trade and Investment to pursue reciprocal tariff reductions on non-strategic goods. Washington has opened public comment periods on roughly $30 billion in potential cuts, while both sides extended elements of the October 2025 truce through late 2026, including suspensions of heightened duties and retaliatory measures. These steps, alongside ongoing consultations on market access and fentanyl precursors, underpin the 73.5% implied probability for a formal accord, reflecting incremental institutional progress amid persistent strategic frictions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$13,173 交易量
$13,173 交易量
2026-12-31
$13,173 交易量
$13,173 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Bilateral negotiations have advanced trader expectations for a US-China tariff agreement by year-end. The May 2026 Trump-Xi summit produced commitments on expanded US agricultural purchases, rare earth access, and the creation of bilateral Boards of Trade and Investment to pursue reciprocal tariff reductions on non-strategic goods. Washington has opened public comment periods on roughly $30 billion in potential cuts, while both sides extended elements of the October 2025 truce through late 2026, including suspensions of heightened duties and retaliatory measures. These steps, alongside ongoing consultations on market access and fentanyl precursors, underpin the 73.5% implied probability for a formal accord, reflecting incremental institutional progress amid persistent strategic frictions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
市场开放时间： May 29, 2026, 9:10 AM ET
交易量
$13,173结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
May 29, 2026, 9:10 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Bilateral negotiations have advanced trader expectations for a US-China tariff agreement by year-end. The May 2026 Trump-Xi summit produced commitments on expanded US agricultural purchases, rare earth access, and the creation of bilateral Boards of Trade and Investment to pursue reciprocal tariff reductions on non-strategic goods. Washington has opened public comment periods on roughly $30 billion in potential cuts, while both sides extended elements of the October 2025 truce through late 2026, including suspensions of heightened duties and retaliatory measures. These steps, alongside ongoing consultations on market access and fentanyl precursors, underpin the 73.5% implied probability for a formal accord, reflecting incremental institutional progress amid persistent strategic frictions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
交易量
$13,173结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
May 29, 2026, 9:10 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Bilateral negotiations have advanced trader expectations for a US-China tariff agreement by year-end. The May 2026 Trump-Xi summit produced commitments on expanded US agricultural purchases, rare earth access, and the creation of bilateral Boards of Trade and Investment to pursue reciprocal tariff reductions on non-strategic goods. Washington has opened public comment periods on roughly $30 billion in potential cuts, while both sides extended elements of the October 2025 truce through late 2026, including suspensions of heightened duties and retaliatory measures. These steps, alongside ongoing consultations on market access and fentanyl precursors, underpin the 73.5% implied probability for a formal accord, reflecting incremental institutional progress amid persistent strategic frictions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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