Rising inventory levels across the DC Metro, up sharply year-over-year, combined with federal workforce uncertainty, are moderating near-term home value growth and anchoring trader consensus around the $554k–$572k range. Recent data show mixed price signals—Zillow typical values near $580k with modest declines, while Redfin median sale prices hover higher amid localized strength in close-in suburbs—creating tight probability bands as June 30 approaches. Mortgage rate stability, seasonal demand patterns, and any final labor market or policy updates remain key swing factors that could shift the outcome within the narrow resolution brackets.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于低于$554,000 28%
$554,000 - $558,000 28%
$570k - $572k 28%
>572,000美元 27%
低于$554,000
28%
$554,000 - $558,000
28%
$558,000 - $562,000
26%
$562,000 - $566,000
26%
566,000美元 - 570,000美元
26%
$570k - $572k
28%
>572,000美元
27%
低于$554,000 28%
$554,000 - $558,000 28%
$570k - $572k 28%
>572,000美元 27%
低于$554,000
28%
$554,000 - $558,000
28%
$558,000 - $562,000
26%
$562,000 - $566,000
26%
566,000美元 - 570,000美元
26%
$570k - $572k
28%
>572,000美元
27%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/45) ---
市场开放时间: Jun 1, 2026, 8:19 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/45) ---
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Rising inventory levels across the DC Metro, up sharply year-over-year, combined with federal workforce uncertainty, are moderating near-term home value growth and anchoring trader consensus around the $554k–$572k range. Recent data show mixed price signals—Zillow typical values near $580k with modest declines, while Redfin median sale prices hover higher amid localized strength in close-in suburbs—creating tight probability bands as June 30 approaches. Mortgage rate stability, seasonal demand patterns, and any final labor market or policy updates remain key swing factors that could shift the outcome within the narrow resolution brackets.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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