The closely matched Polymarket odds around $554k–$572k reflect substantial uncertainty in the near-term trajectory of DC Metro median home values ahead of the June 30 resolution. Recent data show mixed signals, with Redfin reporting a $650k median sale price in the District through April (down 5.2% year-over-year) while Zillow’s index sits near $580k amid a 3% annual decline; metro-wide sold prices hovered around $585k earlier in 2026. Elevated inventory (up over 30% in some reports), mortgage rates near 6%, and federal employment uncertainty have weighed on demand and supported forecasts of modest 1% softening for the year. Seasonal spring buying, potential revisions to housing statistics, and any shifts in Treasury yields or labor market data over the next four weeks remain key swing factors that could tilt the distribution across these narrow bins.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$554,000 - $558,000 29%
低于$554,000 28%
$570k - $572k 28%
$562,000 - $566,000 27%
低于$554,000
28%
$554,000 - $558,000
29%
$558,000 - $562,000
26%
$562,000 - $566,000
27%
566,000美元 - 570,000美元
26%
$570k - $572k
28%
>572,000美元
27%
$554,000 - $558,000 29%
低于$554,000 28%
$570k - $572k 28%
$562,000 - $566,000 27%
低于$554,000
28%
$554,000 - $558,000
29%
$558,000 - $562,000
26%
$562,000 - $566,000
27%
566,000美元 - 570,000美元
26%
$570k - $572k
28%
>572,000美元
27%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/45) ---
市场开放时间: Jun 1, 2026, 8:19 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/45) ---
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The closely matched Polymarket odds around $554k–$572k reflect substantial uncertainty in the near-term trajectory of DC Metro median home values ahead of the June 30 resolution. Recent data show mixed signals, with Redfin reporting a $650k median sale price in the District through April (down 5.2% year-over-year) while Zillow’s index sits near $580k amid a 3% annual decline; metro-wide sold prices hovered around $585k earlier in 2026. Elevated inventory (up over 30% in some reports), mortgage rates near 6%, and federal employment uncertainty have weighed on demand and supported forecasts of modest 1% softening for the year. Seasonal spring buying, potential revisions to housing statistics, and any shifts in Treasury yields or labor market data over the next four weeks remain key swing factors that could tilt the distribution across these narrow bins.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题