Russian forces have faced renewed Ukrainian counteroffensives on the Oleksandrivka axis in late May 2026, with Ukrainian units regaining at least 46 square kilometers near Novoselivka and conducting clearing operations in adjacent areas. These gains followed earlier Russian claims of control over Novooleksandrivka northwest of Pokrovsk in late April and ongoing assaults in the broader Pokrovsk and Oleksandrivka directions. Ukrainian drone strikes and defensive actions have slowed Russian tempo in the sector, while Russian operations continue to target nearby settlements. Any market resolution hinges on confirmed geolocated evidence of Russian entry into the village before the specified deadline, amid fluctuating frontline control and sustained attrition on both sides.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$182,683 交易量
June 30
54%
$182,683 交易量
June 30
54%
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
市场开放时间: May 27, 2026, 4:18 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Russian forces have faced renewed Ukrainian counteroffensives on the Oleksandrivka axis in late May 2026, with Ukrainian units regaining at least 46 square kilometers near Novoselivka and conducting clearing operations in adjacent areas. These gains followed earlier Russian claims of control over Novooleksandrivka northwest of Pokrovsk in late April and ongoing assaults in the broader Pokrovsk and Oleksandrivka directions. Ukrainian drone strikes and defensive actions have slowed Russian tempo in the sector, while Russian operations continue to target nearby settlements. Any market resolution hinges on confirmed geolocated evidence of Russian entry into the village before the specified deadline, amid fluctuating frontline control and sustained attrition on both sides.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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