U.S. sanctions relief and expanded licensing for majors like Chevron have emerged as the primary catalyst supporting Venezuelan crude output, which reached 1.03–1.14 million barrels per day in April 2026 according to OPEC secondary sources and PDVSA reports. Recent political developments have facilitated export clearances and new investment discussions, reversing some of the production shut-ins from late-2025 blockades and positioning output to stabilize near pre-disruption levels by mid-year. However, decades of underinvestment and infrastructure decay constrain rapid scaling, with analyst estimates suggesting feasible gains to 1.3–1.5 million barrels per day by year-end under sustained capital inflows, while exceeding 2 million barrels would require multi-year refurbishments and additional regulatory approvals. Traders are monitoring Treasury policy signals and heavy-crude demand as key variables influencing 2026 thresholds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$111,972 交易量
2027-02-28
110万
98%
120万
76%
130万
41%
140万
18%
150万
6%
170万
4%
200万
3%
$111,972 交易量
110万
$14,921 交易量
98%
120万
$9,338 交易量
76%
130万
$6,938 交易量
41%
140万
$16,929 交易量
18%
150万
$8,030 交易量
6%
170万
$3,878 交易量
4%
200万
$12,861 交易量
3%
This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Venezuelan crude oil production is greater than or equal to the listed number of barrels per day for any month in 2026, according to the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report published for each month.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.U.S. sanctions relief and expanded licensing for majors like Chevron have emerged as the primary catalyst supporting Venezuelan crude output, which reached 1.03–1.14 million barrels per day in April 2026 according to OPEC secondary sources and PDVSA reports. Recent political developments have facilitated export clearances and new investment discussions, reversing some of the production shut-ins from late-2025 blockades and positioning output to stabilize near pre-disruption levels by mid-year. However, decades of underinvestment and infrastructure decay constrain rapid scaling, with analyst estimates suggesting feasible gains to 1.3–1.5 million barrels per day by year-end under sustained capital inflows, while exceeding 2 million barrels would require multi-year refurbishments and additional regulatory approvals. Traders are monitoring Treasury policy signals and heavy-crude demand as key variables influencing 2026 thresholds.
This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Venezuelan crude oil production is greater than or equal to the listed number of barrels per day for any month in 2026, according to the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report published for each month.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
市场开放时间： Jan 6, 2026, 11:09 PM ET
交易量
$111,972结束日期
2027-02-28市场开放时间
Jan 6, 2026, 11:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Venezuelan crude oil production is greater than or equal to the listed number of barrels per day for any month in 2026, according to the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report published for each month.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.U.S. sanctions relief and expanded licensing for majors like Chevron have emerged as the primary catalyst supporting Venezuelan crude output, which reached 1.03–1.14 million barrels per day in April 2026 according to OPEC secondary sources and PDVSA reports. Recent political developments have facilitated export clearances and new investment discussions, reversing some of the production shut-ins from late-2025 blockades and positioning output to stabilize near pre-disruption levels by mid-year. However, decades of underinvestment and infrastructure decay constrain rapid scaling, with analyst estimates suggesting feasible gains to 1.3–1.5 million barrels per day by year-end under sustained capital inflows, while exceeding 2 million barrels would require multi-year refurbishments and additional regulatory approvals. Traders are monitoring Treasury policy signals and heavy-crude demand as key variables influencing 2026 thresholds.
This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Venezuelan crude oil production is greater than or equal to the listed number of barrels per day for any month in 2026, according to the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report published for each month.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
交易量
$111,972结束日期
2027-02-28市场开放时间
Jan 6, 2026, 11:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...U.S. sanctions relief and expanded licensing for majors like Chevron have emerged as the primary catalyst supporting Venezuelan crude output, which reached 1.03–1.14 million barrels per day in April 2026 according to OPEC secondary sources and PDVSA reports. Recent political developments have facilitated export clearances and new investment discussions, reversing some of the production shut-ins from late-2025 blockades and positioning output to stabilize near pre-disruption levels by mid-year. However, decades of underinvestment and infrastructure decay constrain rapid scaling, with analyst estimates suggesting feasible gains to 1.3–1.5 million barrels per day by year-end under sustained capital inflows, while exceeding 2 million barrels would require multi-year refurbishments and additional regulatory approvals. Traders are monitoring Treasury policy signals and heavy-crude demand as key variables influencing 2026 thresholds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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