US military action against Venezuela in early January 2026 consisted of targeted strikes and the capture of Nicolás Maduro rather than a sustained invasion or occupation, satisfying conditions for resolution in related markets without establishing precedent for broader operations. Subsequent policy has emphasized sanctions enforcement, tariffs on regional partners, and anti-cartel naval strikes in the Caribbean and Pacific, alongside diplomatic pressure on issues such as migration and drug flows. No comparable military mobilizations or official statements have signaled intent to launch invasions of other Latin American nations through mid-2026. Congressional oversight hearings and administration statements have focused on post-operation stabilization and enforcement tools short of territorial control. These developments underpin trader consensus reflected in the 77% probability assigned to no invasion occurring for the balance of the year.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
$225,776 交易量
$225,776 交易量
2026-12-31
是
$225,776 交易量
$225,776 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the land territory of Latin American country by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by the relevant country or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
Qualifying Latin America countries: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Mexico, Nicaragua, Panama, Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela,, Cuba, Dominican Republic, Haiti
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.US military action against Venezuela in early January 2026 consisted of targeted strikes and the capture of Nicolás Maduro rather than a sustained invasion or occupation, satisfying conditions for resolution in related markets without establishing precedent for broader operations. Subsequent policy has emphasized sanctions enforcement, tariffs on regional partners, and anti-cartel naval strikes in the Caribbean and Pacific, alongside diplomatic pressure on issues such as migration and drug flows. No comparable military mobilizations or official statements have signaled intent to launch invasions of other Latin American nations through mid-2026. Congressional oversight hearings and administration statements have focused on post-operation stabilization and enforcement tools short of territorial control. These developments underpin trader consensus reflected in the 77% probability assigned to no invasion occurring for the balance of the year.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the land territory of Latin American country by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by the relevant country or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
Qualifying Latin America countries: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Mexico, Nicaragua, Panama, Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela,, Cuba, Dominican Republic, Haiti
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by the relevant country or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
Qualifying Latin America countries: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Mexico, Nicaragua, Panama, Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela,, Cuba, Dominican Republic, Haiti
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
市场开放时间： Jan 4, 2026, 4:03 PM ET
交易量
$225,776结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jan 4, 2026, 4:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the land territory of Latin American country by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by the relevant country or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
Qualifying Latin America countries: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Mexico, Nicaragua, Panama, Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela,, Cuba, Dominican Republic, Haiti
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.US military action against Venezuela in early January 2026 consisted of targeted strikes and the capture of Nicolás Maduro rather than a sustained invasion or occupation, satisfying conditions for resolution in related markets without establishing precedent for broader operations. Subsequent policy has emphasized sanctions enforcement, tariffs on regional partners, and anti-cartel naval strikes in the Caribbean and Pacific, alongside diplomatic pressure on issues such as migration and drug flows. No comparable military mobilizations or official statements have signaled intent to launch invasions of other Latin American nations through mid-2026. Congressional oversight hearings and administration statements have focused on post-operation stabilization and enforcement tools short of territorial control. These developments underpin trader consensus reflected in the 77% probability assigned to no invasion occurring for the balance of the year.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the land territory of Latin American country by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by the relevant country or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
Qualifying Latin America countries: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Mexico, Nicaragua, Panama, Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela,, Cuba, Dominican Republic, Haiti
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by the relevant country or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
Qualifying Latin America countries: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Mexico, Nicaragua, Panama, Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela,, Cuba, Dominican Republic, Haiti
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
交易量
$225,776结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jan 4, 2026, 4:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US military action against Venezuela in early January 2026 consisted of targeted strikes and the capture of Nicolás Maduro rather than a sustained invasion or occupation, satisfying conditions for resolution in related markets without establishing precedent for broader operations. Subsequent policy has emphasized sanctions enforcement, tariffs on regional partners, and anti-cartel naval strikes in the Caribbean and Pacific, alongside diplomatic pressure on issues such as migration and drug flows. No comparable military mobilizations or official statements have signaled intent to launch invasions of other Latin American nations through mid-2026. Congressional oversight hearings and administration statements have focused on post-operation stabilization and enforcement tools short of territorial control. These developments underpin trader consensus reflected in the 77% probability assigned to no invasion occurring for the balance of the year.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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