The U.S. administration has prioritized economic sanctions, secondary tariffs on oil suppliers, and diplomatic pressure—including a January national emergency declaration and May indictment of former Cuban leader Raúl Castro—to pursue regime change or reforms without military force. Official statements from the White House and Pentagon have emphasized contingency positioning of naval assets in the Caribbean while repeatedly ruling out imminent offensive operations or active invasion planning. Ongoing talks with Cuban officials and the absence of any commenced military offensive intended to seize territory have reinforced trader consensus around a non-invasion outcome through the end of 2026.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
$2,376,866 交易量
$2,376,866 交易量
2026-12-31
是
$2,376,866 交易量
$2,376,866 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Cuban land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Cuba or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.The U.S. administration has prioritized economic sanctions, secondary tariffs on oil suppliers, and diplomatic pressure—including a January national emergency declaration and May indictment of former Cuban leader Raúl Castro—to pursue regime change or reforms without military force. Official statements from the White House and Pentagon have emphasized contingency positioning of naval assets in the Caribbean while repeatedly ruling out imminent offensive operations or active invasion planning. Ongoing talks with Cuban officials and the absence of any commenced military offensive intended to seize territory have reinforced trader consensus around a non-invasion outcome through the end of 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Cuban land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Cuba or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Cuba or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
市场开放时间： Jan 4, 2026, 3:24 PM ET
交易量
$2,376,866结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jan 4, 2026, 3:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Cuban land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Cuba or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.The U.S. administration has prioritized economic sanctions, secondary tariffs on oil suppliers, and diplomatic pressure—including a January national emergency declaration and May indictment of former Cuban leader Raúl Castro—to pursue regime change or reforms without military force. Official statements from the White House and Pentagon have emphasized contingency positioning of naval assets in the Caribbean while repeatedly ruling out imminent offensive operations or active invasion planning. Ongoing talks with Cuban officials and the absence of any commenced military offensive intended to seize territory have reinforced trader consensus around a non-invasion outcome through the end of 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Cuban land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Cuba or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Cuba or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
交易量
$2,376,923结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jan 4, 2026, 3:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The U.S. administration has prioritized economic sanctions, secondary tariffs on oil suppliers, and diplomatic pressure—including a January national emergency declaration and May indictment of former Cuban leader Raúl Castro—to pursue regime change or reforms without military force. Official statements from the White House and Pentagon have emphasized contingency positioning of naval assets in the Caribbean while repeatedly ruling out imminent offensive operations or active invasion planning. Ongoing talks with Cuban officials and the absence of any commenced military offensive intended to seize territory have reinforced trader consensus around a non-invasion outcome through the end of 2026.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题