Recent polling from the UC Berkeley-LA Times survey released days before the June 2 primary shows incumbent Karen Bass holding a statistically insignificant lead at 26% among likely voters, narrowly ahead of City Councilmember Nithya Raman at 25% and challenger Spencer Pratt at 22%, with the remainder split among other candidates and undecided voters. This tight three-way contest, marked by recent gains for both Raman and Pratt, underpins trader consensus that Bass will advance while Pratt edges Raman for the second runoff spot. Voter dissatisfaction with city conditions has boosted Pratt's profile as a high-visibility outsider, while Raman's progressive positioning splits the anti-incumbent vote. The low probability assigned to an outright winner reflects the fragmented field and historical patterns in nonpartisan Los Angeles primaries, where a November runoff has been the norm.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Bass & Pratt 72%
Bass & Raman 25%
1st Round Outright Winner 3.5%
Raman & Pratt 2.5%
$20,968 交易量
$20,968 交易量
2026-06-02
Bass & Pratt
72%
Bass & Raman
25%
1st Round Outright Winner
4%
Raman & Pratt
2%
Other
1%
Bass & Pratt 72%
Bass & Raman 25%
1st Round Outright Winner 3.5%
Raman & Pratt 2.5%
$20,968 交易量
$20,968 交易量
2026-06-02
Bass & Pratt
$16,445 交易量
72%
Bass & Raman
$1,656 交易量
25%
1st Round Outright Winner
$909 交易量
4%
Raman & Pratt
$1,290 交易量
2%
Other
$667 交易量
1%
The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral election.
If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.
If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral election, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the results of the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the city and county of Los Angeles.Recent polling from the UC Berkeley-LA Times survey released days before the June 2 primary shows incumbent Karen Bass holding a statistically insignificant lead at 26% among likely voters, narrowly ahead of City Councilmember Nithya Raman at 25% and challenger Spencer Pratt at 22%, with the remainder split among other candidates and undecided voters. This tight three-way contest, marked by recent gains for both Raman and Pratt, underpins trader consensus that Bass will advance while Pratt edges Raman for the second runoff spot. Voter dissatisfaction with city conditions has boosted Pratt's profile as a high-visibility outsider, while Raman's progressive positioning splits the anti-incumbent vote. The low probability assigned to an outright winner reflects the fragmented field and historical patterns in nonpartisan Los Angeles primaries, where a November runoff has been the norm.
The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral election.
If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.
If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral election, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the results of the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the city and county of Los Angeles.
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral election.
If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.
If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral election, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the results of the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the city and county of Los Angeles.
市场开放时间： May 15, 2026, 6:44 PM ET
交易量
$20,968结束日期
2026-06-02市场开放时间
May 15, 2026, 6:44 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral election.
If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.
If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral election, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the results of the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the city and county of Los Angeles.Recent polling from the UC Berkeley-LA Times survey released days before the June 2 primary shows incumbent Karen Bass holding a statistically insignificant lead at 26% among likely voters, narrowly ahead of City Councilmember Nithya Raman at 25% and challenger Spencer Pratt at 22%, with the remainder split among other candidates and undecided voters. This tight three-way contest, marked by recent gains for both Raman and Pratt, underpins trader consensus that Bass will advance while Pratt edges Raman for the second runoff spot. Voter dissatisfaction with city conditions has boosted Pratt's profile as a high-visibility outsider, while Raman's progressive positioning splits the anti-incumbent vote. The low probability assigned to an outright winner reflects the fragmented field and historical patterns in nonpartisan Los Angeles primaries, where a November runoff has been the norm.
The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral election.
If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.
If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral election, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the results of the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the city and county of Los Angeles.
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral election.
If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.
If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral election, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the results of the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the city and county of Los Angeles.
交易量
$20,968结束日期
2026-06-02市场开放时间
May 15, 2026, 6:44 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from the UC Berkeley-LA Times survey released days before the June 2 primary shows incumbent Karen Bass holding a statistically insignificant lead at 26% among likely voters, narrowly ahead of City Councilmember Nithya Raman at 25% and challenger Spencer Pratt at 22%, with the remainder split among other candidates and undecided voters. This tight three-way contest, marked by recent gains for both Raman and Pratt, underpins trader consensus that Bass will advance while Pratt edges Raman for the second runoff spot. Voter dissatisfaction with city conditions has boosted Pratt's profile as a high-visibility outsider, while Raman's progressive positioning splits the anti-incumbent vote. The low probability assigned to an outright winner reflects the fragmented field and historical patterns in nonpartisan Los Angeles primaries, where a November runoff has been the norm.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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