Early polling from April and May shows Juliana Brizola of the PDT and Luciano Zucco of the PL statistically tied in first-round vote intentions in the low-to-mid 20s, with a large undecided share and a fragmented field including Gabriel Souza and Marcelo Maranata. The open contest after term-limited incumbent Eduardo Leite’s expected Senate bid sustains uncertainty over runoff dynamics on October 25, 2026. Zucco’s consolidation of right-leaning support, including potential PP and Republican alliances, balances Brizola’s PDT-led effort drawing left-leaning networks. This equilibrium keeps trader consensus closely matched, with separation likely to emerge from coalition finalization, updated surveys, or clearer positioning on state fiscal recovery.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Rio Grande do Sul Governor Election Winner
Rio Grande do Sul Governor Election Winner
Juliana Brizola 47%
Luciano Zucco 44%
Gabriel Souza 8.9%
Marcelo Maranata 2.5%
$53,589 交易量
$53,589 交易量
2026-10-04
Juliana Brizola
47%
Marcelo Maranata
3%
Gabriel Souza
9%
Luciano Zucco
44%
Luis Carlos Heinze
<1%
Juliana Brizola 47%
Luciano Zucco 44%
Gabriel Souza 8.9%
Marcelo Maranata 2.5%
$53,589 交易量
$53,589 交易量
2026-10-04
Juliana Brizola
$22,329 交易量
47%
Marcelo Maranata
$5,006 交易量
3%
Gabriel Souza
$3,392 交易量
9%
Luciano Zucco
$22,222 交易量
44%
Luis Carlos Heinze
$644 交易量
<1%
The Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Early polling from April and May shows Juliana Brizola of the PDT and Luciano Zucco of the PL statistically tied in first-round vote intentions in the low-to-mid 20s, with a large undecided share and a fragmented field including Gabriel Souza and Marcelo Maranata. The open contest after term-limited incumbent Eduardo Leite’s expected Senate bid sustains uncertainty over runoff dynamics on October 25, 2026. Zucco’s consolidation of right-leaning support, including potential PP and Republican alliances, balances Brizola’s PDT-led effort drawing left-leaning networks. This equilibrium keeps trader consensus closely matched, with separation likely to emerge from coalition finalization, updated surveys, or clearer positioning on state fiscal recovery.
The Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市场开放时间： May 28, 2026, 5:40 PM ET
交易量
$53,589结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
May 28, 2026, 5:40 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Early polling from April and May shows Juliana Brizola of the PDT and Luciano Zucco of the PL statistically tied in first-round vote intentions in the low-to-mid 20s, with a large undecided share and a fragmented field including Gabriel Souza and Marcelo Maranata. The open contest after term-limited incumbent Eduardo Leite’s expected Senate bid sustains uncertainty over runoff dynamics on October 25, 2026. Zucco’s consolidation of right-leaning support, including potential PP and Republican alliances, balances Brizola’s PDT-led effort drawing left-leaning networks. This equilibrium keeps trader consensus closely matched, with separation likely to emerge from coalition finalization, updated surveys, or clearer positioning on state fiscal recovery.
The Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$53,589结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
May 28, 2026, 5:40 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Early polling from April and May shows Juliana Brizola of the PDT and Luciano Zucco of the PL statistically tied in first-round vote intentions in the low-to-mid 20s, with a large undecided share and a fragmented field including Gabriel Souza and Marcelo Maranata. The open contest after term-limited incumbent Eduardo Leite’s expected Senate bid sustains uncertainty over runoff dynamics on October 25, 2026. Zucco’s consolidation of right-leaning support, including potential PP and Republican alliances, balances Brizola’s PDT-led effort drawing left-leaning networks. This equilibrium keeps trader consensus closely matched, with separation likely to emerge from coalition finalization, updated surveys, or clearer positioning on state fiscal recovery.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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