Trump’s second-term pattern of frequent public statements featuring personal insults, profanity, and combative rhetoric on Truth Social and in speeches forms the core driver of trader assessments for daily markets on whether he will insult someone on a given date. Washington Post analysis of his posts and addresses documents a marked rise in such language since January 2025, appearing in a high share of recent activity tied to policy disputes including Iran. This consistent output, including recent examples involving foreign policy threats and criticisms of political figures, informs the market’s evaluation of occurrence likelihood. Scheduled events such as ongoing diplomatic or domestic policy developments could prompt further statements within resolution windows.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
$31,617 交易量
2026-06-30
6月2日
100%
6月29日
94%
6月3日
94%
6月4日
94%
6月21日
93%
6月5日
94%
6月12日
92%
6月6日
92%
6月7日
92%
6月8日
93%
6月28日
92%
6月9日
93%
6月10日
94%
6月26日
91%
6月11日
91%
6月13日
93%
6月14日
92%
6月15日
91%
6月16日
91%
6月18日
92%
6月17日
91%
6月19日
91%
6月22日
91%
6月20日
91%
6月23日
91%
6月24日
91%
6月25日
91%
6月27日
91%
6月30日
91%
$31,617 交易量
6月2日
$29,334 交易量
100%
6月29日
$173 交易量
94%
6月3日
$1,081 交易量
94%
6月4日
$432 交易量
94%
6月21日
$28 交易量
93%
6月5日
$320 交易量
94%
6月12日
$14 交易量
92%
6月6日
$64 交易量
92%
6月7日
$22 交易量
92%
6月8日
$54 交易量
93%
6月28日
$1 交易量
92%
6月9日
$9 交易量
93%
6月10日
$41 交易量
94%
6月26日
$1 交易量
91%
6月11日
$9 交易量
91%
6月13日
$40 交易量
93%
6月14日
$1 交易量
92%
6月15日
$1 交易量
91%
6月16日
$1 交易量
91%
6月18日
$1 交易量
92%
6月17日
$1 交易量
91%
6月19日
$0 交易量
91%
6月22日
$0 交易量
91%
6月20日
$0 交易量
91%
6月23日
$0 交易量
91%
6月24日
$0 交易量
91%
6月25日
$0 交易量
91%
6月27日
$0 交易量
91%
6月30日
$0 交易量
91%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trump’s second-term pattern of frequent public statements featuring personal insults, profanity, and combative rhetoric on Truth Social and in speeches forms the core driver of trader assessments for daily markets on whether he will insult someone on a given date. Washington Post analysis of his posts and addresses documents a marked rise in such language since January 2025, appearing in a high share of recent activity tied to policy disputes including Iran. This consistent output, including recent examples involving foreign policy threats and criticisms of political figures, informs the market’s evaluation of occurrence likelihood. Scheduled events such as ongoing diplomatic or domestic policy developments could prompt further statements within resolution windows.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Jun 1, 2026, 1:44 PM ET
交易量
$31,617结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Jun 1, 2026, 1:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...已提议结果: 是
无争议
最终结果: 是
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trump’s second-term pattern of frequent public statements featuring personal insults, profanity, and combative rhetoric on Truth Social and in speeches forms the core driver of trader assessments for daily markets on whether he will insult someone on a given date. Washington Post analysis of his posts and addresses documents a marked rise in such language since January 2025, appearing in a high share of recent activity tied to policy disputes including Iran. This consistent output, including recent examples involving foreign policy threats and criticisms of political figures, informs the market’s evaluation of occurrence likelihood. Scheduled events such as ongoing diplomatic or domestic policy developments could prompt further statements within resolution windows.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$31,617结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Jun 1, 2026, 1:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...已提议结果: 是
无争议
最终结果: 是
Trump’s second-term pattern of frequent public statements featuring personal insults, profanity, and combative rhetoric on Truth Social and in speeches forms the core driver of trader assessments for daily markets on whether he will insult someone on a given date. Washington Post analysis of his posts and addresses documents a marked rise in such language since January 2025, appearing in a high share of recent activity tied to policy disputes including Iran. This consistent output, including recent examples involving foreign policy threats and criticisms of political figures, informs the market’s evaluation of occurrence likelihood. Scheduled events such as ongoing diplomatic or domestic policy developments could prompt further statements within resolution windows.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题