Chong Won-oh of the Democratic Party of Korea holds a clear but narrowing lead in the June 3 Seoul mayoral contest against incumbent Oh Se-hoon of the People Power Party, with recent surveys showing the gap compressed to roughly four points or within the margin of error. This tightening reflects Oh’s focused campaign on housing policy and district-level strengths that have eroded Chong’s earlier double-digit advantages in swing areas. Trader positioning favors a Chong victory by 3-6 percentage points as the consensus outcome because current polling averages and turnout patterns align with that range, while bins for sub-three-point or six-to-nine-point margins capture residual uncertainty over final mobilization in Seoul’s key districts. No major late developments have altered the baseline trajectory ahead of election day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Chong Won-oh 3-6% 44%
Chong Won-oh <3% 26%
Chong Won-oh 6-9% 16%
Oh Se-hoon <3% 13%
$18,110 交易量
$18,110 交易量
2026-06-03
Chong Won-oh 9%+
7%
Chong Won-oh 6-9%
16%
Chong Won-oh 3-6%
44%
Chong Won-oh <3%
26%
Oh Se-hoon <3%
13%
Oh Se-hoon 3-6%
4%
Oh Se-hoon 6%+
1%
Other
<1%
Chong Won-oh 3-6% 44%
Chong Won-oh <3% 26%
Chong Won-oh 6-9% 16%
Oh Se-hoon <3% 13%
$18,110 交易量
$18,110 交易量
2026-06-03
Chong Won-oh 9%+
$2,007 交易量
7%
Chong Won-oh 6-9%
$1,446 交易量
16%
Chong Won-oh 3-6%
$1,949 交易量
44%
Chong Won-oh <3%
$1,305 交易量
26%
Oh Se-hoon <3%
$2,320 交易量
13%
Oh Se-hoon 3-6%
$3,889 交易量
4%
Oh Se-hoon 6%+
$3,698 交易量
1%
Other
$1,503 交易量
<1%
The 2026 Seoul mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026, to elect the next mayor of Seoul.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Chong Won-oh of the Democratic Party of Korea holds a clear but narrowing lead in the June 3 Seoul mayoral contest against incumbent Oh Se-hoon of the People Power Party, with recent surveys showing the gap compressed to roughly four points or within the margin of error. This tightening reflects Oh’s focused campaign on housing policy and district-level strengths that have eroded Chong’s earlier double-digit advantages in swing areas. Trader positioning favors a Chong victory by 3-6 percentage points as the consensus outcome because current polling averages and turnout patterns align with that range, while bins for sub-three-point or six-to-nine-point margins capture residual uncertainty over final mobilization in Seoul’s key districts. No major late developments have altered the baseline trajectory ahead of election day.
The 2026 Seoul mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026, to elect the next mayor of Seoul.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
市场开放时间： May 26, 2026, 1:06 AM ET
交易量
$18,110结束日期
2026-06-03市场开放时间
May 26, 2026, 1:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 Seoul mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026, to elect the next mayor of Seoul.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Chong Won-oh of the Democratic Party of Korea holds a clear but narrowing lead in the June 3 Seoul mayoral contest against incumbent Oh Se-hoon of the People Power Party, with recent surveys showing the gap compressed to roughly four points or within the margin of error. This tightening reflects Oh’s focused campaign on housing policy and district-level strengths that have eroded Chong’s earlier double-digit advantages in swing areas. Trader positioning favors a Chong victory by 3-6 percentage points as the consensus outcome because current polling averages and turnout patterns align with that range, while bins for sub-three-point or six-to-nine-point margins capture residual uncertainty over final mobilization in Seoul’s key districts. No major late developments have altered the baseline trajectory ahead of election day.
The 2026 Seoul mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026, to elect the next mayor of Seoul.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
交易量
$18,110结束日期
2026-06-03市场开放时间
May 26, 2026, 1:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Chong Won-oh of the Democratic Party of Korea holds a clear but narrowing lead in the June 3 Seoul mayoral contest against incumbent Oh Se-hoon of the People Power Party, with recent surveys showing the gap compressed to roughly four points or within the margin of error. This tightening reflects Oh’s focused campaign on housing policy and district-level strengths that have eroded Chong’s earlier double-digit advantages in swing areas. Trader positioning favors a Chong victory by 3-6 percentage points as the consensus outcome because current polling averages and turnout patterns align with that range, while bins for sub-three-point or six-to-nine-point margins capture residual uncertainty over final mobilization in Seoul’s key districts. No major late developments have altered the baseline trajectory ahead of election day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题