The closely contested Seoul mayoral race between Democratic Party candidate Chong Won-o and incumbent People Power Party mayor Oh Se-hoon, with recent polls showing the pair separated by single digits or within the margin of error, has positioned moderate turnout levels as the market consensus. This dynamic, combined with early voting participation and the election’s status as the first major nationwide contest following recent presidential developments, supports expectations for participation in the 55-60% range. Historical patterns for South Korean local elections, which typically see lower engagement than presidential votes, further align with trader pricing that places lower or higher bands at more modest implied probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于55-60% 71%
60-65% 16%
50-55% 13.7%
65%以上 2.9%
$30,674 交易量
$30,674 交易量
2026-06-03
低于50%
1%
50-55%
14%
55-60%
71%
60-65%
16%
65%以上
3%
55-60% 71%
60-65% 16%
50-55% 13.7%
65%以上 2.9%
$30,674 交易量
$30,674 交易量
2026-06-03
低于50%
$5,956 交易量
1%
50-55%
$11,473 交易量
14%
55-60%
$3,927 交易量
71%
60-65%
$4,627 交易量
16%
65%以上
$4,701 交易量
3%
The 2026 Seoul mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Seoul.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Seoul mayoral election, defined as the total number of votes cast (총투표자수) divided by the total number of registered voters (선거인수).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://info.nec.go.kr/).The closely contested Seoul mayoral race between Democratic Party candidate Chong Won-o and incumbent People Power Party mayor Oh Se-hoon, with recent polls showing the pair separated by single digits or within the margin of error, has positioned moderate turnout levels as the market consensus. This dynamic, combined with early voting participation and the election’s status as the first major nationwide contest following recent presidential developments, supports expectations for participation in the 55-60% range. Historical patterns for South Korean local elections, which typically see lower engagement than presidential votes, further align with trader pricing that places lower or higher bands at more modest implied probabilities.
The 2026 Seoul mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Seoul.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Seoul mayoral election, defined as the total number of votes cast (총투표자수) divided by the total number of registered voters (선거인수).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://info.nec.go.kr/).
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Seoul mayoral election, defined as the total number of votes cast (총투표자수) divided by the total number of registered voters (선거인수).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://info.nec.go.kr/).
市场开放时间： May 26, 2026, 8:48 PM ET
交易量
$30,674结束日期
2026-06-03市场开放时间
May 26, 2026, 8:48 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 Seoul mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Seoul.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Seoul mayoral election, defined as the total number of votes cast (총투표자수) divided by the total number of registered voters (선거인수).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://info.nec.go.kr/).The closely contested Seoul mayoral race between Democratic Party candidate Chong Won-o and incumbent People Power Party mayor Oh Se-hoon, with recent polls showing the pair separated by single digits or within the margin of error, has positioned moderate turnout levels as the market consensus. This dynamic, combined with early voting participation and the election’s status as the first major nationwide contest following recent presidential developments, supports expectations for participation in the 55-60% range. Historical patterns for South Korean local elections, which typically see lower engagement than presidential votes, further align with trader pricing that places lower or higher bands at more modest implied probabilities.
The 2026 Seoul mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Seoul.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Seoul mayoral election, defined as the total number of votes cast (총투표자수) divided by the total number of registered voters (선거인수).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://info.nec.go.kr/).
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Seoul mayoral election, defined as the total number of votes cast (총투표자수) divided by the total number of registered voters (선거인수).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://info.nec.go.kr/).
交易量
$30,674结束日期
2026-06-03市场开放时间
May 26, 2026, 8:48 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The closely contested Seoul mayoral race between Democratic Party candidate Chong Won-o and incumbent People Power Party mayor Oh Se-hoon, with recent polls showing the pair separated by single digits or within the margin of error, has positioned moderate turnout levels as the market consensus. This dynamic, combined with early voting participation and the election’s status as the first major nationwide contest following recent presidential developments, supports expectations for participation in the 55-60% range. Historical patterns for South Korean local elections, which typically see lower engagement than presidential votes, further align with trader pricing that places lower or higher bands at more modest implied probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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