The tightening contest between Democratic Party nominee Chong Won-o and incumbent People Power Party candidate Oh Se-hoon has emerged as the main driver behind trader consensus for 55-60% turnout in the June 3 Seoul mayoral election. Recent polling shows the once double-digit lead narrowing to single digits, a dynamic that typically mobilizes higher participation in competitive local races. Early voting has already reached a record 23.51% for South Korean local elections, providing a concrete upward lift relative to the 53.2% turnout recorded in the 2022 Seoul mayoral contest. Campaign launches, televised debates, and sustained national attention tied to the ruling party's strong position have further supported expectations that overall participation will settle modestly above recent baselines without exceeding the 60% threshold.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于55-60% 71%
60-65% 16%
50-55% 14.2%
65%以上 1.2%
$31,954 交易量
$31,954 交易量
2026-06-03
低于50%
1%
50-55%
14%
55-60%
71%
60-65%
16%
65%以上
1%
55-60% 71%
60-65% 16%
50-55% 14.2%
65%以上 1.2%
$31,954 交易量
$31,954 交易量
2026-06-03
低于50%
$6,127 交易量
1%
50-55%
$12,086 交易量
14%
55-60%
$4,104 交易量
71%
60-65%
$4,797 交易量
16%
65%以上
$4,839 交易量
1%
The 2026 Seoul mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Seoul.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Seoul mayoral election, defined as the total number of votes cast (총투표자수) divided by the total number of registered voters (선거인수).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://info.nec.go.kr/).The tightening contest between Democratic Party nominee Chong Won-o and incumbent People Power Party candidate Oh Se-hoon has emerged as the main driver behind trader consensus for 55-60% turnout in the June 3 Seoul mayoral election. Recent polling shows the once double-digit lead narrowing to single digits, a dynamic that typically mobilizes higher participation in competitive local races. Early voting has already reached a record 23.51% for South Korean local elections, providing a concrete upward lift relative to the 53.2% turnout recorded in the 2022 Seoul mayoral contest. Campaign launches, televised debates, and sustained national attention tied to the ruling party's strong position have further supported expectations that overall participation will settle modestly above recent baselines without exceeding the 60% threshold.
The 2026 Seoul mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Seoul.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Seoul mayoral election, defined as the total number of votes cast (총투표자수) divided by the total number of registered voters (선거인수).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://info.nec.go.kr/).
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Seoul mayoral election, defined as the total number of votes cast (총투표자수) divided by the total number of registered voters (선거인수).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://info.nec.go.kr/).
市场开放时间： May 26, 2026, 8:48 PM ET
交易量
$31,954结束日期
2026-06-03市场开放时间
May 26, 2026, 8:48 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 Seoul mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Seoul.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Seoul mayoral election, defined as the total number of votes cast (총투표자수) divided by the total number of registered voters (선거인수).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://info.nec.go.kr/).The tightening contest between Democratic Party nominee Chong Won-o and incumbent People Power Party candidate Oh Se-hoon has emerged as the main driver behind trader consensus for 55-60% turnout in the June 3 Seoul mayoral election. Recent polling shows the once double-digit lead narrowing to single digits, a dynamic that typically mobilizes higher participation in competitive local races. Early voting has already reached a record 23.51% for South Korean local elections, providing a concrete upward lift relative to the 53.2% turnout recorded in the 2022 Seoul mayoral contest. Campaign launches, televised debates, and sustained national attention tied to the ruling party's strong position have further supported expectations that overall participation will settle modestly above recent baselines without exceeding the 60% threshold.
The 2026 Seoul mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Seoul.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Seoul mayoral election, defined as the total number of votes cast (총투표자수) divided by the total number of registered voters (선거인수).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://info.nec.go.kr/).
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Seoul mayoral election, defined as the total number of votes cast (총투표자수) divided by the total number of registered voters (선거인수).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://info.nec.go.kr/).
交易量
$31,954结束日期
2026-06-03市场开放时间
May 26, 2026, 8:48 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The tightening contest between Democratic Party nominee Chong Won-o and incumbent People Power Party candidate Oh Se-hoon has emerged as the main driver behind trader consensus for 55-60% turnout in the June 3 Seoul mayoral election. Recent polling shows the once double-digit lead narrowing to single digits, a dynamic that typically mobilizes higher participation in competitive local races. Early voting has already reached a record 23.51% for South Korean local elections, providing a concrete upward lift relative to the 53.2% turnout recorded in the 2022 Seoul mayoral contest. Campaign launches, televised debates, and sustained national attention tied to the ruling party's strong position have further supported expectations that overall participation will settle modestly above recent baselines without exceeding the 60% threshold.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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