Alaska's nonpartisan top-four primary for the U.S. House at-large seat is scheduled for August 18, 2026, under the state's ranked-choice voting system that advances the four highest vote-getters to the November general election regardless of party. Incumbent Republican Nick Begich faces challenges from Democrat Matt Schultz, independent Bill Hill, and several lesser-known candidates after the June 1 filing deadline closed with a full slate confirmed. Recent Alaska Survey Research polls from April and May show Begich leading Schultz by 17 to 18 points among likely primary voters, reflecting the incumbent's established position in a state that leans Republican in federal races. The contest centers on fundraising, union endorsements, and voter turnout in a low-information primary environment where name recognition and party affiliation typically determine advancement. No major late developments have altered the field since filings concluded.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Matt Schultz
92%
Nick Begich III
92%
Bill Hill
90%
John Williams
69%
Gavin Solomon
34%
马修“野马”威廉姆斯
25%
$7,082 交易量
Matt Schultz
92%
Nick Begich III
92%
Bill Hill
90%
John Williams
69%
Gavin Solomon
34%
马修“野马”威廉姆斯
25%
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for Alaska's At-Large congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.
市场开放时间: May 27, 2026, 10:09 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for Alaska's At-Large congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Alaska's nonpartisan top-four primary for the U.S. House at-large seat is scheduled for August 18, 2026, under the state's ranked-choice voting system that advances the four highest vote-getters to the November general election regardless of party. Incumbent Republican Nick Begich faces challenges from Democrat Matt Schultz, independent Bill Hill, and several lesser-known candidates after the June 1 filing deadline closed with a full slate confirmed. Recent Alaska Survey Research polls from April and May show Begich leading Schultz by 17 to 18 points among likely primary voters, reflecting the incumbent's established position in a state that leans Republican in federal races. The contest centers on fundraising, union endorsements, and voter turnout in a low-information primary environment where name recognition and party affiliation typically determine advancement. No major late developments have altered the field since filings concluded.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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