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选举·主要

Alaska At-Large Primary Winners

icon for Alaska At-Large Primary Winners
选举·主要

Alaska At-Large Primary Winners

最新
2026-08-18
Polymarket

$7,082 交易量

Polymarket

Matt Schultz

$150 交易量

92%

Nick Begich III

$204 交易量

92%

Bill Hill

$1,804 交易量

90%

John Williams

$1,454 交易量

69%

Gavin Solomon

$2,042 交易量

34%

马修“野马”威廉姆斯

$1,427 交易量

25%

The non-partisan primary election for the Alaska At-Large Congressional District is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Representative from Alaska. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for Alaska's At-Large congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.Incumbent Republican Nick Begich faces multiple challengers in Alaska’s August 18 nonpartisan top-four primary for the at-large U.S. House seat. Democratic pastor Matt Schultz and independent commercial fisherman Bill Hill have positioned themselves as leading anti-incumbent alternatives, emphasizing economic concerns for everyday Alaskans and drawing union support and early fundraising. Recent candidate filings closed June 1, confirming a field that also includes other Democrats and independents. A May poll showed Begich leading but below 50 percent, with vote splitting among opponents likely to determine which four advance to the ranked-choice general election. No major late developments have altered the candidate slate since filing.

The non-partisan primary election for the Alaska At-Large Congressional District is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Representative from Alaska.

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for Alaska's At-Large congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.
交易量
$7,082
结束日期
2026-08-18
市场开放时间
May 27, 2026, 10:09 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The non-partisan primary election for the Alaska At-Large Congressional District is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Representative from Alaska. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for Alaska's At-Large congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.
The non-partisan primary election for the Alaska At-Large Congressional District is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Representative from Alaska. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for Alaska's At-Large congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.Incumbent Republican Nick Begich faces multiple challengers in Alaska’s August 18 nonpartisan top-four primary for the at-large U.S. House seat. Democratic pastor Matt Schultz and independent commercial fisherman Bill Hill have positioned themselves as leading anti-incumbent alternatives, emphasizing economic concerns for everyday Alaskans and drawing union support and early fundraising. Recent candidate filings closed June 1, confirming a field that also includes other Democrats and independents. A May poll showed Begich leading but below 50 percent, with vote splitting among opponents likely to determine which four advance to the ranked-choice general election. No major late developments have altered the candidate slate since filing.

The non-partisan primary election for the Alaska At-Large Congressional District is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Representative from Alaska.

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for Alaska's At-Large congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.
交易量
$7,082
结束日期
2026-08-18
市场开放时间
May 27, 2026, 10:09 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The non-partisan primary election for the Alaska At-Large Congressional District is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Representative from Alaska. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for Alaska's At-Large congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"Alaska At-Large Primary Winners"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 6 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"Matt Schultz"，概率为 92%，其次是"Nick Begich III"，概率为 92%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 92¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 92%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"Alaska At-Large Primary Winners"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场，于May 27, 2026上线。作为一个新市场，这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签，以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"Alaska At-Large Primary Winners"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 6 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"Alaska At-Large Primary Winners"的当前领先者是"Matt Schultz"，概率为 92%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 92%。紧随其后的结果是"Nick Begich III"，概率为 92%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"Alaska At-Large Primary Winners"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。