Ongoing US-Israel military operations against Iran since late February 2026, combined with Iranian threats, mine risks, attacks on vessels, and a US naval blockade of Iranian ports through late May, have sharply curtailed commercial traffic through the Strait of Hormuz. Pre-conflict daily averages exceeded 100 transits, but data from April and May show single-digit daily crossings in many periods, with monthly totals falling to roughly 5% of normal levels amid stranded tankers and heightened security concerns. Iranian Revolutionary Guard coordination claims and limited US navigation assistance have produced only sporadic increases, keeping end-of-May averages firmly in the lowest range. Trader consensus reflects the sustained barriers from active conflict dynamics, though a verified de-escalation or expanded escort operations could enable higher volumes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于0-10 97.2%
10-20 1.8%
20-40 <1%
40-60 <1%
$756,567 交易量
$756,567 交易量
2026-05-31
0-10
97%
10-20
2%
20-40
<1%
40-60
<1%
60+
<1%
0-10 97.2%
10-20 1.8%
20-40 <1%
40-60 <1%
$756,567 交易量
$756,567 交易量
2026-05-31
0-10
$322,324 交易量
97%
10-20
$114,402 交易量
2%
20-40
$101,102 交易量
<1%
40-60
$87,171 交易量
<1%
60+
$131,568 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz that IMF Portwatch reports for May 31, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as data for the specified date has been published. If no data for the specified date has been published by June 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on data for the most recent date prior to May 31, 2026, for which data is available.
This market will resolve based on the first publication of data for May 31, 2026. Any subsequent revisions will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.Ongoing US-Israel military operations against Iran since late February 2026, combined with Iranian threats, mine risks, attacks on vessels, and a US naval blockade of Iranian ports through late May, have sharply curtailed commercial traffic through the Strait of Hormuz. Pre-conflict daily averages exceeded 100 transits, but data from April and May show single-digit daily crossings in many periods, with monthly totals falling to roughly 5% of normal levels amid stranded tankers and heightened security concerns. Iranian Revolutionary Guard coordination claims and limited US navigation assistance have produced only sporadic increases, keeping end-of-May averages firmly in the lowest range. Trader consensus reflects the sustained barriers from active conflict dynamics, though a verified de-escalation or expanded escort operations could enable higher volumes.
This market will resolve according to the 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz that IMF Portwatch reports for May 31, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as data for the specified date has been published. If no data for the specified date has been published by June 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on data for the most recent date prior to May 31, 2026, for which data is available.
This market will resolve based on the first publication of data for May 31, 2026. Any subsequent revisions will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as data for the specified date has been published. If no data for the specified date has been published by June 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on data for the most recent date prior to May 31, 2026, for which data is available.
This market will resolve based on the first publication of data for May 31, 2026. Any subsequent revisions will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.
市场开放时间： Apr 30, 2026, 3:15 PM ET
交易量
$756,567结束日期
2026-05-31市场开放时间
Apr 30, 2026, 3:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz that IMF Portwatch reports for May 31, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as data for the specified date has been published. If no data for the specified date has been published by June 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on data for the most recent date prior to May 31, 2026, for which data is available.
This market will resolve based on the first publication of data for May 31, 2026. Any subsequent revisions will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.Ongoing US-Israel military operations against Iran since late February 2026, combined with Iranian threats, mine risks, attacks on vessels, and a US naval blockade of Iranian ports through late May, have sharply curtailed commercial traffic through the Strait of Hormuz. Pre-conflict daily averages exceeded 100 transits, but data from April and May show single-digit daily crossings in many periods, with monthly totals falling to roughly 5% of normal levels amid stranded tankers and heightened security concerns. Iranian Revolutionary Guard coordination claims and limited US navigation assistance have produced only sporadic increases, keeping end-of-May averages firmly in the lowest range. Trader consensus reflects the sustained barriers from active conflict dynamics, though a verified de-escalation or expanded escort operations could enable higher volumes.
This market will resolve according to the 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz that IMF Portwatch reports for May 31, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as data for the specified date has been published. If no data for the specified date has been published by June 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on data for the most recent date prior to May 31, 2026, for which data is available.
This market will resolve based on the first publication of data for May 31, 2026. Any subsequent revisions will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as data for the specified date has been published. If no data for the specified date has been published by June 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on data for the most recent date prior to May 31, 2026, for which data is available.
This market will resolve based on the first publication of data for May 31, 2026. Any subsequent revisions will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.
交易量
$756,567结束日期
2026-05-31市场开放时间
Apr 30, 2026, 3:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ongoing US-Israel military operations against Iran since late February 2026, combined with Iranian threats, mine risks, attacks on vessels, and a US naval blockade of Iranian ports through late May, have sharply curtailed commercial traffic through the Strait of Hormuz. Pre-conflict daily averages exceeded 100 transits, but data from April and May show single-digit daily crossings in many periods, with monthly totals falling to roughly 5% of normal levels amid stranded tankers and heightened security concerns. Iranian Revolutionary Guard coordination claims and limited US navigation assistance have produced only sporadic increases, keeping end-of-May averages firmly in the lowest range. Trader consensus reflects the sustained barriers from active conflict dynamics, though a verified de-escalation or expanded escort operations could enable higher volumes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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