Ongoing U.S.-Iran tensions and naval restrictions stemming from the 2026 conflict have kept commercial transits through the Strait of Hormuz at a fraction of pre-war levels exceeding 100 daily. Attacks on shipping, mine threats, and blockades prompted widespread rerouting and suspensions by major carriers, with data showing single-digit or low double-digit daily movements through late May amid stranded vessels and erratic limited passages. U.S. coordination has enabled a modest uptick, including roughly three guided transits per day on average in recent weeks, yet volumes remain suppressed by safety concerns and Iranian oversight. Trader consensus reflects these persistent barriers, though a formal ceasefire or sustained easing of enforcement could increase throughput within the resolution window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于0-10 97.5%
10-20 1.8%
20-40 <1%
40-60 <1%
$760,186 交易量
$760,186 交易量
2026-05-31
0-10
98%
10-20
2%
20-40
<1%
40-60
<1%
60+
<1%
0-10 97.5%
10-20 1.8%
20-40 <1%
40-60 <1%
$760,186 交易量
$760,186 交易量
2026-05-31
0-10
$323,157 交易量
98%
10-20
$114,402 交易量
2%
20-40
$101,107 交易量
<1%
40-60
$89,952 交易量
<1%
60+
$131,568 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz that IMF Portwatch reports for May 31, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as data for the specified date has been published. If no data for the specified date has been published by June 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on data for the most recent date prior to May 31, 2026, for which data is available.
This market will resolve based on the first publication of data for May 31, 2026. Any subsequent revisions will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.Ongoing U.S.-Iran tensions and naval restrictions stemming from the 2026 conflict have kept commercial transits through the Strait of Hormuz at a fraction of pre-war levels exceeding 100 daily. Attacks on shipping, mine threats, and blockades prompted widespread rerouting and suspensions by major carriers, with data showing single-digit or low double-digit daily movements through late May amid stranded vessels and erratic limited passages. U.S. coordination has enabled a modest uptick, including roughly three guided transits per day on average in recent weeks, yet volumes remain suppressed by safety concerns and Iranian oversight. Trader consensus reflects these persistent barriers, though a formal ceasefire or sustained easing of enforcement could increase throughput within the resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz that IMF Portwatch reports for May 31, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as data for the specified date has been published. If no data for the specified date has been published by June 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on data for the most recent date prior to May 31, 2026, for which data is available.
This market will resolve based on the first publication of data for May 31, 2026. Any subsequent revisions will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as data for the specified date has been published. If no data for the specified date has been published by June 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on data for the most recent date prior to May 31, 2026, for which data is available.
This market will resolve based on the first publication of data for May 31, 2026. Any subsequent revisions will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.
市场开放时间： Apr 30, 2026, 3:15 PM ET
交易量
$760,186结束日期
2026-05-31市场开放时间
Apr 30, 2026, 3:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz that IMF Portwatch reports for May 31, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as data for the specified date has been published. If no data for the specified date has been published by June 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on data for the most recent date prior to May 31, 2026, for which data is available.
This market will resolve based on the first publication of data for May 31, 2026. Any subsequent revisions will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.Ongoing U.S.-Iran tensions and naval restrictions stemming from the 2026 conflict have kept commercial transits through the Strait of Hormuz at a fraction of pre-war levels exceeding 100 daily. Attacks on shipping, mine threats, and blockades prompted widespread rerouting and suspensions by major carriers, with data showing single-digit or low double-digit daily movements through late May amid stranded vessels and erratic limited passages. U.S. coordination has enabled a modest uptick, including roughly three guided transits per day on average in recent weeks, yet volumes remain suppressed by safety concerns and Iranian oversight. Trader consensus reflects these persistent barriers, though a formal ceasefire or sustained easing of enforcement could increase throughput within the resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz that IMF Portwatch reports for May 31, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as data for the specified date has been published. If no data for the specified date has been published by June 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on data for the most recent date prior to May 31, 2026, for which data is available.
This market will resolve based on the first publication of data for May 31, 2026. Any subsequent revisions will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as data for the specified date has been published. If no data for the specified date has been published by June 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on data for the most recent date prior to May 31, 2026, for which data is available.
This market will resolve based on the first publication of data for May 31, 2026. Any subsequent revisions will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.
交易量
$760,186结束日期
2026-05-31市场开放时间
Apr 30, 2026, 3:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ongoing U.S.-Iran tensions and naval restrictions stemming from the 2026 conflict have kept commercial transits through the Strait of Hormuz at a fraction of pre-war levels exceeding 100 daily. Attacks on shipping, mine threats, and blockades prompted widespread rerouting and suspensions by major carriers, with data showing single-digit or low double-digit daily movements through late May amid stranded vessels and erratic limited passages. U.S. coordination has enabled a modest uptick, including roughly three guided transits per day on average in recent weeks, yet volumes remain suppressed by safety concerns and Iranian oversight. Trader consensus reflects these persistent barriers, though a formal ceasefire or sustained easing of enforcement could increase throughput within the resolution window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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