Arizona's 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+22 Partisan Voter Index and consistent ratings of Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic from nonpartisan forecasters. The majority-Latino district centered in downtown and western Phoenix has delivered decisive Democratic margins in recent cycles, supporting the incumbent Yassamin Ansari's position ahead of the July 2026 primary and November general election. Trader consensus in the market aligns with this structural advantage and the absence of competitive Republican challengers. A major scandal, health issue, or unprecedented national political shift could theoretically narrow the gap, though historical patterns and current district fundamentals present substantial barriers to such outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$14,356 交易量
$14,356 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
95%
共和党
6%
$14,356 交易量
$14,356 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$8,813 交易量
95%
共和党
$5,594 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Arizona's 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+22 Partisan Voter Index and consistent ratings of Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic from nonpartisan forecasters. The majority-Latino district centered in downtown and western Phoenix has delivered decisive Democratic margins in recent cycles, supporting the incumbent Yassamin Ansari's position ahead of the July 2026 primary and November general election. Trader consensus in the market aligns with this structural advantage and the absence of competitive Republican challengers. A major scandal, health issue, or unprecedented national political shift could theoretically narrow the gap, though historical patterns and current district fundamentals present substantial barriers to such outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
交易量
$14,356结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Arizona's 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+22 Partisan Voter Index and consistent ratings of Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic from nonpartisan forecasters. The majority-Latino district centered in downtown and western Phoenix has delivered decisive Democratic margins in recent cycles, supporting the incumbent Yassamin Ansari's position ahead of the July 2026 primary and November general election. Trader consensus in the market aligns with this structural advantage and the absence of competitive Republican challengers. A major scandal, health issue, or unprecedented national political shift could theoretically narrow the gap, though historical patterns and current district fundamentals present substantial barriers to such outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$14,356结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Arizona's 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+22 Partisan Voter Index and consistent ratings of Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic from nonpartisan forecasters. The majority-Latino district centered in downtown and western Phoenix has delivered decisive Democratic margins in recent cycles, supporting the incumbent Yassamin Ansari's position ahead of the July 2026 primary and November general election. Trader consensus in the market aligns with this structural advantage and the absence of competitive Republican challengers. A major scandal, health issue, or unprecedented national political shift could theoretically narrow the gap, though historical patterns and current district fundamentals present substantial barriers to such outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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