The absence of any active federal or state criminal investigations or indictments against Bill Gates underpins the 98.7% trader consensus on No. No U.S. jurisdiction has advanced formal charges related to Epstein document releases, vaccine-related civil claims, or other scrutiny as of late May 2026, with repeated public allegations consistently resolved as unfounded or non-criminal proceedings. Ongoing congressional review and document disclosures have generated attention without producing referrals or evidence sufficient for indictment. The short window to June 30 leaves limited scope for reversal, though unforeseen developments such as new grand jury filings or testimony could still alter the outcome before resolution.