The pending qualification of the 2026 Billionaire Tax Act ballot initiative, which would impose a one-time 5% wealth tax on California residents with net worth above $1 billion as of January 1, 2026, remains the central factor behind the 60.5% "No" consensus. Proponents submitted 1.55 million signatures in late April—nearly double the threshold—with verification due by June 25, 2026, yet anticipated constitutional challenges over residency rules, retroactive elements, and state taxing authority on worldwide assets continue to weigh on prospects. Early polling showed 52% support but 33% opposition, while divisions among labor groups and expectations of well-funded opposition campaigns add uncertainty ahead of the November vote. Traders appear to price in these procedural, legal, and political hurdles as significant barriers to passage.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
$3,323,869 交易量
$3,323,869 交易量
2026-11-03
是
$3,323,869 交易量
$3,323,869 交易量
2026-11-03
A one-time wealth tax on billionaires has been proposed to potentially appear on California's ballot for the November 3, 2026 general election. You can read more about that here: https://6abc.com/post/california-union-proposes-taxing-billionaires-offset-medicaid-cuts-low-income-people/18066430/
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any proposition containing a one-time tax targeting individuals, households, or family units with wealth, assets, or net worth of at least $1 billion (USD or equivalent) passes in the named election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no qualifying ballot initiative is certified to appear on the official statewide California ballot as a proposition to be voted on in the stated election by June 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (the official cutoff date for new initiatives to be approved), or if all qualifying propositions/initiatives are removed from the ballot or amended before the election such that the main threshold drops below $1 billion, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the State of California, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The pending qualification of the 2026 Billionaire Tax Act ballot initiative, which would impose a one-time 5% wealth tax on California residents with net worth above $1 billion as of January 1, 2026, remains the central factor behind the 60.5% "No" consensus. Proponents submitted 1.55 million signatures in late April—nearly double the threshold—with verification due by June 25, 2026, yet anticipated constitutional challenges over residency rules, retroactive elements, and state taxing authority on worldwide assets continue to weigh on prospects. Early polling showed 52% support but 33% opposition, while divisions among labor groups and expectations of well-funded opposition campaigns add uncertainty ahead of the November vote. Traders appear to price in these procedural, legal, and political hurdles as significant barriers to passage.
A one-time wealth tax on billionaires has been proposed to potentially appear on California's ballot for the November 3, 2026 general election. You can read more about that here: https://6abc.com/post/california-union-proposes-taxing-billionaires-offset-medicaid-cuts-low-income-people/18066430/
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any proposition containing a one-time tax targeting individuals, households, or family units with wealth, assets, or net worth of at least $1 billion (USD or equivalent) passes in the named election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no qualifying ballot initiative is certified to appear on the official statewide California ballot as a proposition to be voted on in the stated election by June 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (the official cutoff date for new initiatives to be approved), or if all qualifying propositions/initiatives are removed from the ballot or amended before the election such that the main threshold drops below $1 billion, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the State of California, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any proposition containing a one-time tax targeting individuals, households, or family units with wealth, assets, or net worth of at least $1 billion (USD or equivalent) passes in the named election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no qualifying ballot initiative is certified to appear on the official statewide California ballot as a proposition to be voted on in the stated election by June 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (the official cutoff date for new initiatives to be approved), or if all qualifying propositions/initiatives are removed from the ballot or amended before the election such that the main threshold drops below $1 billion, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the State of California, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Oct 24, 2025, 3:48 PM ET
交易量
$3,323,869结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 24, 2025, 3:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...A one-time wealth tax on billionaires has been proposed to potentially appear on California's ballot for the November 3, 2026 general election. You can read more about that here: https://6abc.com/post/california-union-proposes-taxing-billionaires-offset-medicaid-cuts-low-income-people/18066430/
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any proposition containing a one-time tax targeting individuals, households, or family units with wealth, assets, or net worth of at least $1 billion (USD or equivalent) passes in the named election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no qualifying ballot initiative is certified to appear on the official statewide California ballot as a proposition to be voted on in the stated election by June 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (the official cutoff date for new initiatives to be approved), or if all qualifying propositions/initiatives are removed from the ballot or amended before the election such that the main threshold drops below $1 billion, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the State of California, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The pending qualification of the 2026 Billionaire Tax Act ballot initiative, which would impose a one-time 5% wealth tax on California residents with net worth above $1 billion as of January 1, 2026, remains the central factor behind the 60.5% "No" consensus. Proponents submitted 1.55 million signatures in late April—nearly double the threshold—with verification due by June 25, 2026, yet anticipated constitutional challenges over residency rules, retroactive elements, and state taxing authority on worldwide assets continue to weigh on prospects. Early polling showed 52% support but 33% opposition, while divisions among labor groups and expectations of well-funded opposition campaigns add uncertainty ahead of the November vote. Traders appear to price in these procedural, legal, and political hurdles as significant barriers to passage.
A one-time wealth tax on billionaires has been proposed to potentially appear on California's ballot for the November 3, 2026 general election. You can read more about that here: https://6abc.com/post/california-union-proposes-taxing-billionaires-offset-medicaid-cuts-low-income-people/18066430/
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any proposition containing a one-time tax targeting individuals, households, or family units with wealth, assets, or net worth of at least $1 billion (USD or equivalent) passes in the named election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no qualifying ballot initiative is certified to appear on the official statewide California ballot as a proposition to be voted on in the stated election by June 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (the official cutoff date for new initiatives to be approved), or if all qualifying propositions/initiatives are removed from the ballot or amended before the election such that the main threshold drops below $1 billion, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the State of California, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any proposition containing a one-time tax targeting individuals, households, or family units with wealth, assets, or net worth of at least $1 billion (USD or equivalent) passes in the named election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no qualifying ballot initiative is certified to appear on the official statewide California ballot as a proposition to be voted on in the stated election by June 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (the official cutoff date for new initiatives to be approved), or if all qualifying propositions/initiatives are removed from the ballot or amended before the election such that the main threshold drops below $1 billion, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the State of California, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$3,323,869结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 24, 2025, 3:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The pending qualification of the 2026 Billionaire Tax Act ballot initiative, which would impose a one-time 5% wealth tax on California residents with net worth above $1 billion as of January 1, 2026, remains the central factor behind the 60.5% "No" consensus. Proponents submitted 1.55 million signatures in late April—nearly double the threshold—with verification due by June 25, 2026, yet anticipated constitutional challenges over residency rules, retroactive elements, and state taxing authority on worldwide assets continue to weigh on prospects. Early polling showed 52% support but 33% opposition, while divisions among labor groups and expectations of well-funded opposition campaigns add uncertainty ahead of the November vote. Traders appear to price in these procedural, legal, and political hurdles as significant barriers to passage.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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