Incumbent Democrat Mike Thompson holds a commanding position in the June 2 primary for California's 4th congressional district, which covers Napa, Yolo, Sutter, and portions of surrounding counties. Trader consensus on advancement strongly favors Thompson alongside Democratic challenger Eric Jones, reflecting Thompson's long incumbency, committee roles, and established fundraising edge. Multiple Republican candidates, including Ray Riehle and others, trail significantly. Recent candidate forums have focused on agriculture, tariffs, water policy, and cost-of-living issues, yet no major shifts in positioning have emerged in the final days. The top two finishers advance to the November general election under California's nonpartisan primary system.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$36,570 交易量
2026-06-02
迈克·汤普森
95%
Eric Jones
92%
劳丽·麦肯齐
4%
约翰·韦斯利·泰勒
2%
希斯·富克森
1%
特雷弗·梅雷尔
1%
莎伦·布朗
<1%
Mandy Ghusar
<1%
$36,570 交易量
迈克·汤普森
$7,470 交易量
95%
Eric Jones
$6,758 交易量
92%
劳丽·麦肯齐
$722 交易量
4%
约翰·韦斯利·泰勒
$1,856 交易量
2%
希斯·富克森
$1,717 交易量
1%
特雷弗·梅雷尔
$10,817 交易量
1%
莎伦·布朗
$3,994 交易量
<1%
Mandy Ghusar
$3,238 交易量
<1%
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Democrat Mike Thompson holds a commanding position in the June 2 primary for California's 4th congressional district, which covers Napa, Yolo, Sutter, and portions of surrounding counties. Trader consensus on advancement strongly favors Thompson alongside Democratic challenger Eric Jones, reflecting Thompson's long incumbency, committee roles, and established fundraising edge. Multiple Republican candidates, including Ray Riehle and others, trail significantly. Recent candidate forums have focused on agriculture, tariffs, water policy, and cost-of-living issues, yet no major shifts in positioning have emerged in the final days. The top two finishers advance to the November general election under California's nonpartisan primary system.
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
市场开放时间： Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ET
交易量
$36,570结束日期
2026-06-02市场开放时间
Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Democrat Mike Thompson holds a commanding position in the June 2 primary for California's 4th congressional district, which covers Napa, Yolo, Sutter, and portions of surrounding counties. Trader consensus on advancement strongly favors Thompson alongside Democratic challenger Eric Jones, reflecting Thompson's long incumbency, committee roles, and established fundraising edge. Multiple Republican candidates, including Ray Riehle and others, trail significantly. Recent candidate forums have focused on agriculture, tariffs, water policy, and cost-of-living issues, yet no major shifts in positioning have emerged in the final days. The top two finishers advance to the November general election under California's nonpartisan primary system.
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$36,570结束日期
2026-06-02市场开放时间
Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Incumbent Democrat Mike Thompson holds a commanding position in the June 2 primary for California's 4th congressional district, which covers Napa, Yolo, Sutter, and portions of surrounding counties. Trader consensus on advancement strongly favors Thompson alongside Democratic challenger Eric Jones, reflecting Thompson's long incumbency, committee roles, and established fundraising edge. Multiple Republican candidates, including Ray Riehle and others, trail significantly. Recent candidate forums have focused on agriculture, tariffs, water policy, and cost-of-living issues, yet no major shifts in positioning have emerged in the final days. The top two finishers advance to the November general election under California's nonpartisan primary system.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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