Incumbent Democrat Mike Thompson seeks his 15th term in California's 4th Congressional District primary on June 2, facing a well-funded primary challenger in Eric Jones amid redistricting that added nearly half new rural territory through Proposition 50. Multiple Republicans, including Ray Riehle, Sharon Brown, and Mandy Ghusar, compete for the second advance spot under the state's top-two system. Thompson highlights his Ways and Means Committee role, farm background, and measured tariff approach, while Jones emphasizes progressive priorities such as expanded Medicare access, child care support, and family farm grants. Fundraising and local endorsements have concentrated attention on the two Democrats, with forecasters rating the seat Solid Democratic for the general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$36,674 交易量
迈克·汤普森
95%
Eric Jones
94%
劳丽·麦肯齐
4%
约翰·韦斯利·泰勒
2%
希斯·富克森
1%
特雷弗·梅雷尔
1%
Mandy Ghusar
<1%
莎伦·布朗
<1%
$36,674 交易量
迈克·汤普森
95%
Eric Jones
94%
劳丽·麦肯齐
4%
约翰·韦斯利·泰勒
2%
希斯·富克森
1%
特雷弗·梅雷尔
1%
Mandy Ghusar
<1%
莎伦·布朗
<1%
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
市场开放时间: Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Incumbent Democrat Mike Thompson seeks his 15th term in California's 4th Congressional District primary on June 2, facing a well-funded primary challenger in Eric Jones amid redistricting that added nearly half new rural territory through Proposition 50. Multiple Republicans, including Ray Riehle, Sharon Brown, and Mandy Ghusar, compete for the second advance spot under the state's top-two system. Thompson highlights his Ways and Means Committee role, farm background, and measured tariff approach, while Jones emphasizes progressive priorities such as expanded Medicare access, child care support, and family farm grants. Fundraising and local endorsements have concentrated attention on the two Democrats, with forecasters rating the seat Solid Democratic for the general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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