California's 43rd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic partisan advantage, reflected in its D+27 Cook Partisan Voter Index and Maxine Waters' consistent reelection margins exceeding 70 percent in recent cycles. The incumbent Democrat, first elected in 1990 and seeking another term in the June 2 primary and November general election, faces limited opposition in a district where Democratic candidates have dominated under California's top-two primary system. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus that the party holds a commanding position. A shift in odds would require an unforeseen development such as the incumbent's withdrawal due to health or other factors, emergence of a high-profile Republican challenger, or significant redistricting changes before the general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$23,899 交易量
$23,899 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
94%
共和党
6%
$23,899 交易量
$23,899 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$9,334 交易量
94%
共和党
$14,565 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-43 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 43rd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic partisan advantage, reflected in its D+27 Cook Partisan Voter Index and Maxine Waters' consistent reelection margins exceeding 70 percent in recent cycles. The incumbent Democrat, first elected in 1990 and seeking another term in the June 2 primary and November general election, faces limited opposition in a district where Democratic candidates have dominated under California's top-two primary system. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus that the party holds a commanding position. A shift in odds would require an unforeseen development such as the incumbent's withdrawal due to health or other factors, emergence of a high-profile Republican challenger, or significant redistricting changes before the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-43 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ET
交易量
$23,899结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-43 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 43rd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic partisan advantage, reflected in its D+27 Cook Partisan Voter Index and Maxine Waters' consistent reelection margins exceeding 70 percent in recent cycles. The incumbent Democrat, first elected in 1990 and seeking another term in the June 2 primary and November general election, faces limited opposition in a district where Democratic candidates have dominated under California's top-two primary system. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus that the party holds a commanding position. A shift in odds would require an unforeseen development such as the incumbent's withdrawal due to health or other factors, emergence of a high-profile Republican challenger, or significant redistricting changes before the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-43 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$23,899结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California's 43rd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic partisan advantage, reflected in its D+27 Cook Partisan Voter Index and Maxine Waters' consistent reelection margins exceeding 70 percent in recent cycles. The incumbent Democrat, first elected in 1990 and seeking another term in the June 2 primary and November general election, faces limited opposition in a district where Democratic candidates have dominated under California's top-two primary system. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus that the party holds a commanding position. A shift in odds would require an unforeseen development such as the incumbent's withdrawal due to health or other factors, emergence of a high-profile Republican challenger, or significant redistricting changes before the general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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