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政治·主要

CA-48 Primary Winners

icon for CA-48 Primary Winners
政治·主要

CA-48 Primary Winners

$6,494 交易量

2026-06-02
Polymarket

$6,494 交易量

Polymarket

Jim Desmond

$1,580 交易量

98%

Marni von Wilpert

$671 交易量

63%

Ammar Campa-Najjar

$985 交易量

45%

Eric Shaw

$394 交易量

32%

Corinna Contreras

$223 交易量

25%

Mike Schaefer

$49 交易量

14%

Ferguson Porter

$307 交易量

5%

Brandon Riker

$674 交易量

3%

Abel Chavez

$312 交易量

3%

Stephen Clemons

$163 交易量

2%

Kevin O'Neil

$887 交易量

2%

Luis Reyna

$249 交易量

2%

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 48th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.California's 48th congressional district features an open seat following Republican Rep. Darrell Issa's retirement, with redistricting under Proposition 50 shifting the San Diego-area district toward a slight Democratic lean. San Diego County Supervisor Jim Desmond quickly entered as the leading Republican, securing endorsements from Issa and President Trump, positioning him to advance from the June 2, 2026 top-two primary. On the Democratic side, San Diego Councilmember Marni von Wilpert and former Obama administration official Ammar Campa-Najjar lead a crowded field, with other candidates including Corinna Contreras and Abel Chavez also on the ballot. Recent polling shows Desmond well ahead among Republicans while the Democratic contest remains fluid, and the nonpartisan primary format means the top two vote-getters regardless of party will advance to the November general election.

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 48th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$6,494
结束日期
2026-06-02
市场开放时间
Apr 22, 2026, 6:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 48th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 48th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.California's 48th congressional district features an open seat following Republican Rep. Darrell Issa's retirement, with redistricting under Proposition 50 shifting the San Diego-area district toward a slight Democratic lean. San Diego County Supervisor Jim Desmond quickly entered as the leading Republican, securing endorsements from Issa and President Trump, positioning him to advance from the June 2, 2026 top-two primary. On the Democratic side, San Diego Councilmember Marni von Wilpert and former Obama administration official Ammar Campa-Najjar lead a crowded field, with other candidates including Corinna Contreras and Abel Chavez also on the ballot. Recent polling shows Desmond well ahead among Republicans while the Democratic contest remains fluid, and the nonpartisan primary format means the top two vote-getters regardless of party will advance to the November general election.

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 48th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$6,494
结束日期
2026-06-02
市场开放时间
Apr 22, 2026, 6:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 48th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"CA-48 Primary Winners"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 12 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"Jim Desmond"，概率为 98%，其次是"Marni von Wilpert"，概率为 63%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 98¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 98%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"CA-48 Primary Winners"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场，于Apr 22, 2026上线。作为一个新市场，这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签，以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"CA-48 Primary Winners"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 12 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"CA-48 Primary Winners"的当前领先者是"Jim Desmond"，概率为 98%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 98%。紧随其后的结果是"Marni von Wilpert"，概率为 63%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"CA-48 Primary Winners"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。