Steve Hilton leads trader consensus for the Orange County winner in California’s June 2, 2026, top-two gubernatorial primary at 80.5 percent implied probability. As the Republican frontrunner, Hilton has consolidated GOP support following President Trump’s April endorsement, which reduced vote-splitting risks with rival Chad Bianco. Orange County’s Republican-leaning primary electorate favors the endorsed candidate over Democratic contenders such as former local Representative Katie Porter, Xavier Becerra, and Tom Steyer, whose support is more evenly distributed statewide. Recent polls show Hilton holding a clear edge among Republicans, reinforcing his position in this key battleground county ahead of primary voting.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Steve Hilton 81%
Xavier Becerra 9%
Katie Porter 6.3%
Chad Bianco 5.2%
$3,400 交易量
$3,400 交易量
2026-06-02
Steve Hilton
81%
Xavier Becerra
9%
Katie Porter
6%
Chad Bianco
5%
Matt Mahan
1%
Tom Steyer
1%
Tony Thurmond
1%
Antonio Villaraigosa
<1%
Steve Hilton 81%
Xavier Becerra 9%
Katie Porter 6.3%
Chad Bianco 5.2%
$3,400 交易量
$3,400 交易量
2026-06-02
Steve Hilton
$1,101 交易量
81%
Xavier Becerra
$638 交易量
9%
Katie Porter
$165 交易量
6%
Chad Bianco
$863 交易量
5%
Matt Mahan
$121 交易量
1%
Tom Steyer
$154 交易量
1%
Tony Thurmond
$127 交易量
1%
Antonio Villaraigosa
$231 交易量
<1%
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Orange County in this primary election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.Steve Hilton leads trader consensus for the Orange County winner in California’s June 2, 2026, top-two gubernatorial primary at 80.5 percent implied probability. As the Republican frontrunner, Hilton has consolidated GOP support following President Trump’s April endorsement, which reduced vote-splitting risks with rival Chad Bianco. Orange County’s Republican-leaning primary electorate favors the endorsed candidate over Democratic contenders such as former local Representative Katie Porter, Xavier Becerra, and Tom Steyer, whose support is more evenly distributed statewide. Recent polls show Hilton holding a clear edge among Republicans, reinforcing his position in this key battleground county ahead of primary voting.
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Orange County in this primary election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Orange County in this primary election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
市场开放时间： May 27, 2026, 10:25 PM ET
交易量
$3,400结束日期
2026-06-02市场开放时间
May 27, 2026, 10:25 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Orange County in this primary election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.Steve Hilton leads trader consensus for the Orange County winner in California’s June 2, 2026, top-two gubernatorial primary at 80.5 percent implied probability. As the Republican frontrunner, Hilton has consolidated GOP support following President Trump’s April endorsement, which reduced vote-splitting risks with rival Chad Bianco. Orange County’s Republican-leaning primary electorate favors the endorsed candidate over Democratic contenders such as former local Representative Katie Porter, Xavier Becerra, and Tom Steyer, whose support is more evenly distributed statewide. Recent polls show Hilton holding a clear edge among Republicans, reinforcing his position in this key battleground county ahead of primary voting.
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Orange County in this primary election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Orange County in this primary election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
交易量
$3,400结束日期
2026-06-02市场开放时间
May 27, 2026, 10:25 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Steve Hilton leads trader consensus for the Orange County winner in California’s June 2, 2026, top-two gubernatorial primary at 80.5 percent implied probability. As the Republican frontrunner, Hilton has consolidated GOP support following President Trump’s April endorsement, which reduced vote-splitting risks with rival Chad Bianco. Orange County’s Republican-leaning primary electorate favors the endorsed candidate over Democratic contenders such as former local Representative Katie Porter, Xavier Becerra, and Tom Steyer, whose support is more evenly distributed statewide. Recent polls show Hilton holding a clear edge among Republicans, reinforcing his position in this key battleground county ahead of primary voting.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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