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icon for 谁将从加州副州长初选中晋升?

谁将从加州副州长初选中晋升?

icon for 谁将从加州副州长初选中晋升?

谁将从加州副州长初选中晋升?

$1,606 交易量

2026-11-03
Polymarket

$1,606 交易量

Polymarket

Fiona Ma

$330 交易量

83%

Josh Fryday

$111 交易量

22%

Michael Tubbs

$14 交易量

15%

David Fennell

$110 交易量

17%

Janelle Kellman

$49 交易量

8%

David Collenberg

$67 交易量

6%

Oliver Ma

$271 交易量

6%

Ebie Lynch

$105 交易量

5%

Rakesh Christian

$206 交易量

5%

Jeyson Lopez

$105 交易量

5%

Sean Collinson

$239 交易量

3%

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the Lieutenant Governor race in California in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.California's June 2, 2026, primary uses the state's top-two system, sending the two highest vote-getters—regardless of party—to the November general election for the open lieutenant governor seat, as incumbent Eleni Kounalakis is term-limited. Leading Democratic contenders include State Treasurer Fiona Ma, Newsom administration Chief Service Officer Josh Fryday, and former Stockton Mayor Michael Tubbs, alongside Janelle Kellman and others, while Republicans such as David Fennell also appear on the ballot. Candidates have emphasized higher education affordability, tuition policies, and economic development in a low-name-recognition contest marked by high undecided shares in early polling. Recent endorsements and fundraising have highlighted Ma's profile, though the race remains fluid ahead of vote counting.

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the Lieutenant Governor race in California in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$1,606
结束日期
2026-06-02
市场开放时间
May 14, 2026, 7:42 PM ET
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the Lieutenant Governor race in California in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the Lieutenant Governor race in California in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.California's June 2, 2026, primary uses the state's top-two system, sending the two highest vote-getters—regardless of party—to the November general election for the open lieutenant governor seat, as incumbent Eleni Kounalakis is term-limited. Leading Democratic contenders include State Treasurer Fiona Ma, Newsom administration Chief Service Officer Josh Fryday, and former Stockton Mayor Michael Tubbs, alongside Janelle Kellman and others, while Republicans such as David Fennell also appear on the ballot. Candidates have emphasized higher education affordability, tuition policies, and economic development in a low-name-recognition contest marked by high undecided shares in early polling. Recent endorsements and fundraising have highlighted Ma's profile, though the race remains fluid ahead of vote counting.

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the Lieutenant Governor race in California in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$1,606
结束日期
2026-06-02
市场开放时间
May 14, 2026, 7:42 PM ET
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the Lieutenant Governor race in California in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"谁将从加州副州长初选中晋升?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 11 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"Fiona Ma",概率为 83%,其次是"Josh Fryday",概率为 22%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 83¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 83%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"谁将从加州副州长初选中晋升?"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场,于May 14, 2026上线。作为一个新市场,这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签,以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"谁将从加州副州长初选中晋升?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 11 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"谁将从加州副州长初选中晋升?"的当前领先者是"Fiona Ma",概率为 83%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 83%。紧随其后的结果是"Josh Fryday",概率为 22%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"谁将从加州副州长初选中晋升?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。