Persistent inflation pressures, highlighted by Colombia’s April 2026 CPI accelerating to 5.68% year-over-year—above consensus and the highest level since September 2024—have driven the 84% market-implied probability of a Banco de la República rate increase at the June 30 meeting. Following 100-basis-point hikes in January and March that lifted the policy rate to 11.25%, the central bank held steady in late April amid resilient domestic demand and year-end inflation expectations near 6.3%. This backdrop has shifted trader consensus toward further tightening to anchor expectations and return inflation to the 3% target, while the negligible 0.3% odds of a cut reflect fiscal risks and limited scope for easing. The 14% probability of no change hinges on incoming May inflation and growth data ahead of the decision.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Increase 84%
No change 15%
Decrease <1%
最新
最新
2026-06-30
Decrease
<1%
No change
15%
Increase
84%
Increase 84%
No change 15%
Decrease <1%
最新
最新
2026-06-30
Decrease
$1,842 交易量
<1%
No change
$2,045 交易量
15%
Increase
$1,571 交易量
84%
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the monetary policy rate as a result of the Central Bank of Colombia's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Central Bank of Colombia after its June 30, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar: https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos.
This market may resolve as soon as the Central Bank of Colombia's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Persistent inflation pressures, highlighted by Colombia’s April 2026 CPI accelerating to 5.68% year-over-year—above consensus and the highest level since September 2024—have driven the 84% market-implied probability of a Banco de la República rate increase at the June 30 meeting. Following 100-basis-point hikes in January and March that lifted the policy rate to 11.25%, the central bank held steady in late April amid resilient domestic demand and year-end inflation expectations near 6.3%. This backdrop has shifted trader consensus toward further tightening to anchor expectations and return inflation to the 3% target, while the negligible 0.3% odds of a cut reflect fiscal risks and limited scope for easing. The 14% probability of no change hinges on incoming May inflation and growth data ahead of the decision.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the monetary policy rate as a result of the Central Bank of Colombia's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Central Bank of Colombia after its June 30, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar: https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos.
This market may resolve as soon as the Central Bank of Colombia's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Central Bank of Colombia after its June 30, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar: https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos.
This market may resolve as soon as the Central Bank of Colombia's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
市场开放时间： Apr 2, 2026, 3:47 PM ET
交易量
$5,458结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Apr 2, 2026, 3:47 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the monetary policy rate as a result of the Central Bank of Colombia's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Central Bank of Colombia after its June 30, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar: https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos.
This market may resolve as soon as the Central Bank of Colombia's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Persistent inflation pressures, highlighted by Colombia’s April 2026 CPI accelerating to 5.68% year-over-year—above consensus and the highest level since September 2024—have driven the 84% market-implied probability of a Banco de la República rate increase at the June 30 meeting. Following 100-basis-point hikes in January and March that lifted the policy rate to 11.25%, the central bank held steady in late April amid resilient domestic demand and year-end inflation expectations near 6.3%. This backdrop has shifted trader consensus toward further tightening to anchor expectations and return inflation to the 3% target, while the negligible 0.3% odds of a cut reflect fiscal risks and limited scope for easing. The 14% probability of no change hinges on incoming May inflation and growth data ahead of the decision.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the monetary policy rate as a result of the Central Bank of Colombia's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Central Bank of Colombia after its June 30, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar: https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos.
This market may resolve as soon as the Central Bank of Colombia's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Central Bank of Colombia after its June 30, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar: https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos.
This market may resolve as soon as the Central Bank of Colombia's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
交易量
$5,458结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Apr 2, 2026, 3:47 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent inflation pressures, highlighted by Colombia’s April 2026 CPI accelerating to 5.68% year-over-year—above consensus and the highest level since September 2024—have driven the 84% market-implied probability of a Banco de la República rate increase at the June 30 meeting. Following 100-basis-point hikes in January and March that lifted the policy rate to 11.25%, the central bank held steady in late April amid resilient domestic demand and year-end inflation expectations near 6.3%. This backdrop has shifted trader consensus toward further tightening to anchor expectations and return inflation to the 3% target, while the negligible 0.3% odds of a cut reflect fiscal risks and limited scope for easing. The 14% probability of no change hinges on incoming May inflation and growth data ahead of the decision.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题