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icon for Elon Musk musk # tweets in July 2026?
政治·Tweet Markets

Elon Musk musk # tweets in July 2026?

icon for Elon Musk musk # tweets in July 2026?
政治·Tweet Markets

Elon Musk musk # tweets in July 2026?

8月 1

8月 1

800-839 8.8%

880-919 8.1%

840-879 8.0%

720-759 7.2%

Polymarket

$138,439 交易量

800-839 8.8%

880-919 8.1%

840-879 8.0%

720-759 7.2%

Polymarket

$138,439 交易量

<20

$15,028 交易量

<1%

20-39

$4,932 交易量

<1%

40-59

$280 交易量

<1%

60-79

$3,475 交易量

<1%

80-99

$1,400 交易量

<1%

100-119

$2,277 交易量

<1%

120-139

$2,398 交易量

<1%

140-159

$1,395 交易量

<1%

160-179

$1,292 交易量

<1%

180-199

$1,960 交易量

<1%

200-219

$2,290 交易量

<1%

220-239

$3,712 交易量

<1%

240-259

$5,733 交易量

<1%

260-279

$5,578 交易量

<1%

280-299

$10,796 交易量

<1%

300-319

$8,635 交易量

<1%

320-339

$2,931 交易量

<1%

340-359

$2,808 交易量

<1%

360-379

$7,552 交易量

<1%

380-399

$9,935 交易量

<1%

400-419

$6,217 交易量

<1%

420-439

$1,847 交易量

<1%

440-459

$2,673 交易量

1%

460-479

$730 交易量

1%

480-499

$1,656 交易量

1%

500-519

$941 交易量

1%

520-539

$1,234 交易量

1%

540-559

$1,140 交易量

2%

560-579

$1,176 交易量

1%

580-599

$1,032 交易量

2%

600-639

$1,036 交易量

4%

640-679

$2,356 交易量

5%

680-719

$1,583 交易量

6%

720-759

$1,040 交易量

7%

760-799

$842 交易量

7%

800-839

$3,361 交易量

9%

840-879

$1,360 交易量

8%

880-919

$988 交易量

8%

920-959

$625 交易量

7%

960-999

$788 交易量

7%

1000-1039

$718 交易量

5%

1040-1079

$744 交易量

4%

1080-1119

$758 交易量

3%

1120-1159

$878 交易量

3%

1160-1199

$794 交易量

2%

1200-1239

$1,453 交易量

2%

1240-1279

$851 交易量

2%

1280-1319

$1,797 交易量

2%

1320-1359

$1,002 交易量

1%

1360-1399

$776 交易量

2%

1400+

$1,635 交易量

7%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of July 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Elon Musk's July 2026 X posting volume shows a wide distribution, with leading ranges clustered around 800-919 tweets receiving the highest implied probabilities while lower and higher brackets trail. This spread stems from historical variability in his activity, driven by business milestones at Tesla, SpaceX, and xAI, regulatory developments, and external news cycles that can prompt sustained posting or reduced output. No outcome exceeds single-digit support, underscoring the market's view of outcomes as sensitive to month-specific catalysts such as product launches, policy announcements, or personal schedule changes. Key differentiators among contenders include the potential for concentrated activity around earnings periods or major events versus steadier baseline engagement, with probabilities likely to consolidate if verifiable patterns from recent months align with one segment of the distribution.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of July 2026.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$138,439
结束日期
2026-08-01
市场开放时间
May 24, 2026, 12:01 AM ET

结算来源

https://x.com/elonmusk

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of July 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of July 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Elon Musk's July 2026 X posting volume shows a wide distribution, with leading ranges clustered around 800-919 tweets receiving the highest implied probabilities while lower and higher brackets trail. This spread stems from historical variability in his activity, driven by business milestones at Tesla, SpaceX, and xAI, regulatory developments, and external news cycles that can prompt sustained posting or reduced output. No outcome exceeds single-digit support, underscoring the market's view of outcomes as sensitive to month-specific catalysts such as product launches, policy announcements, or personal schedule changes. Key differentiators among contenders include the potential for concentrated activity around earnings periods or major events versus steadier baseline engagement, with probabilities likely to consolidate if verifiable patterns from recent months align with one segment of the distribution.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of July 2026.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$138,439
结束日期
2026-08-01
市场开放时间
May 24, 2026, 12:01 AM ET

结算来源

https://x.com/elonmusk

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of July 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"Elon Musk musk # tweets in July 2026?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 51+ 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"800-839"，概率为 9%，其次是"840-879"，概率为 8%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 9¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 9%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"Elon Musk musk # tweets in July 2026?"已产生 $138.4K 的总交易量（自May 24, 2026市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"Elon Musk musk # tweets in July 2026?"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 51+ 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

这是一个非常开放的市场。"Elon Musk musk # tweets in July 2026?"的当前领先者是"800-839"，仅有 9%，"840-879"紧随其后为 8%。由于没有任何结果占据明显优势，交易者认为这高度不确定，可能带来独特的交易机会。这些赔率实时更新，请将本页加入书签。

"Elon Musk musk # tweets in July 2026?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。