Elon Musk’s established baseline posting rhythm on X underpins the market’s heavy tilt toward the 40-64 tweet range for the June 1-3 window, reflecting traders’ assessment of his typical daily volume absent major news cycles or product launches. Recent activity shows steady engagement without announced breaks, travel disruptions, or intensified campaigns that could push counts higher or trigger moderation slowdowns, keeping elevated bins below 10 percent combined. Historical patterns of 15-20 posts per day in quiet periods support this consensus, with the secondary <40 outcome capturing caution around potential short-term dips while the narrow three-day timeframe limits room for dramatic swings before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于40-64 66%
<40 26%
65-89 8%
90-114 <1%
$179,608 交易量
$179,608 交易量
2026-06-03
<40
26%
40-64
66%
65-89
8%
90-114
<1%
115-139
<1%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 66%
<40 26%
65-89 8%
90-114 <1%
$179,608 交易量
$179,608 交易量
2026-06-03
<40
$32,017 交易量
26%
40-64
$16,328 交易量
66%
65-89
$17,705 交易量
8%
90-114
$17,250 交易量
<1%
115-139
$20,711 交易量
<1%
140-164
$18,662 交易量
<1%
165-189
$16,189 交易量
<1%
190-214
$19,097 交易量
<1%
215-239
$12,140 交易量
<1%
240+
$15,220 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 1 12:00 PM ET to June 3, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s established baseline posting rhythm on X underpins the market’s heavy tilt toward the 40-64 tweet range for the June 1-3 window, reflecting traders’ assessment of his typical daily volume absent major news cycles or product launches. Recent activity shows steady engagement without announced breaks, travel disruptions, or intensified campaigns that could push counts higher or trigger moderation slowdowns, keeping elevated bins below 10 percent combined. Historical patterns of 15-20 posts per day in quiet periods support this consensus, with the secondary <40 outcome capturing caution around potential short-term dips while the narrow three-day timeframe limits room for dramatic swings before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 1 12:00 PM ET to June 3, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市场开放时间： May 30, 2026, 12:05 PM ET
交易量
$179,608结束日期
2026-06-03市场开放时间
May 30, 2026, 12:05 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 1 12:00 PM ET to June 3, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s established baseline posting rhythm on X underpins the market’s heavy tilt toward the 40-64 tweet range for the June 1-3 window, reflecting traders’ assessment of his typical daily volume absent major news cycles or product launches. Recent activity shows steady engagement without announced breaks, travel disruptions, or intensified campaigns that could push counts higher or trigger moderation slowdowns, keeping elevated bins below 10 percent combined. Historical patterns of 15-20 posts per day in quiet periods support this consensus, with the secondary <40 outcome capturing caution around potential short-term dips while the narrow three-day timeframe limits room for dramatic swings before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 1 12:00 PM ET to June 3, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$179,608结束日期
2026-06-03市场开放时间
May 30, 2026, 12:05 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk’s established baseline posting rhythm on X underpins the market’s heavy tilt toward the 40-64 tweet range for the June 1-3 window, reflecting traders’ assessment of his typical daily volume absent major news cycles or product launches. Recent activity shows steady engagement without announced breaks, travel disruptions, or intensified campaigns that could push counts higher or trigger moderation slowdowns, keeping elevated bins below 10 percent combined. Historical patterns of 15-20 posts per day in quiet periods support this consensus, with the secondary <40 outcome capturing caution around potential short-term dips while the narrow three-day timeframe limits room for dramatic swings before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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