Trader consensus places the 140-159 tweet range as the leading outcome for Elon Musk’s activity on X from May 29 to June 5, 2026, at 32.9% implied probability, based on his established daily posting patterns amid ongoing business and public commentary. The wide spread across multiple bins underscores ongoing uncertainty, as output can shift quickly with Tesla or SpaceX developments, regulatory news, or direct follower engagement. Traders watch real-time volume for momentum changes, noting that historical averages around 20 tweets per day provide a baseline while sudden spikes or lulls from major announcements remain key swing factors through the period’s close.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于140-159 32.7%
160-179 22.9%
120-139 22.3%
180-199 10%
$2,028,135 交易量
$2,028,135 交易量
2026-06-05
60-79
<1%
80-99
1%
100-119
4%
120-139
22%
140-159
33%
160-179
23%
180-199
10%
200-219
5%
220-239
2%
240-259
1%
260-279
<1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
140-159 32.7%
160-179 22.9%
120-139 22.3%
180-199 10%
$2,028,135 交易量
$2,028,135 交易量
2026-06-05
60-79
$138,967 交易量
<1%
80-99
$111,060 交易量
1%
100-119
$69,714 交易量
4%
120-139
$56,748 交易量
22%
140-159
$61,628 交易量
33%
160-179
$46,117 交易量
23%
180-199
$49,175 交易量
10%
200-219
$41,399 交易量
5%
220-239
$39,990 交易量
2%
240-259
$39,083 交易量
1%
260-279
$79,294 交易量
<1%
280-299
$105,890 交易量
<1%
300-319
$114,683 交易量
<1%
320-339
$95,853 交易量
<1%
340-359
$73,780 交易量
<1%
360-379
$108,384 交易量
<1%
380-399
$77,930 交易量
<1%
400-419
$36,403 交易量
<1%
420-439
$24,315 交易量
<1%
440-459
$27,414 交易量
<1%
460-479
$31,238 交易量
<1%
480-499
$107,362 交易量
<1%
500+
$312,961 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 29 12:00 PM ET to June 5, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus places the 140-159 tweet range as the leading outcome for Elon Musk’s activity on X from May 29 to June 5, 2026, at 32.9% implied probability, based on his established daily posting patterns amid ongoing business and public commentary. The wide spread across multiple bins underscores ongoing uncertainty, as output can shift quickly with Tesla or SpaceX developments, regulatory news, or direct follower engagement. Traders watch real-time volume for momentum changes, noting that historical averages around 20 tweets per day provide a baseline while sudden spikes or lulls from major announcements remain key swing factors through the period’s close.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 29 12:00 PM ET to June 5, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市场开放时间： May 26, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$2,028,135结束日期
2026-06-05市场开放时间
May 26, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 29 12:00 PM ET to June 5, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus places the 140-159 tweet range as the leading outcome for Elon Musk’s activity on X from May 29 to June 5, 2026, at 32.9% implied probability, based on his established daily posting patterns amid ongoing business and public commentary. The wide spread across multiple bins underscores ongoing uncertainty, as output can shift quickly with Tesla or SpaceX developments, regulatory news, or direct follower engagement. Traders watch real-time volume for momentum changes, noting that historical averages around 20 tweets per day provide a baseline while sudden spikes or lulls from major announcements remain key swing factors through the period’s close.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 29 12:00 PM ET to June 5, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$2,028,135结束日期
2026-06-05市场开放时间
May 26, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus places the 140-159 tweet range as the leading outcome for Elon Musk’s activity on X from May 29 to June 5, 2026, at 32.9% implied probability, based on his established daily posting patterns amid ongoing business and public commentary. The wide spread across multiple bins underscores ongoing uncertainty, as output can shift quickly with Tesla or SpaceX developments, regulatory news, or direct follower engagement. Traders watch real-time volume for momentum changes, noting that historical averages around 20 tweets per day provide a baseline while sudden spikes or lulls from major announcements remain key swing factors through the period’s close.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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