Thomas Chalifoux holds a clear lead in the August 18 Republican primary for Florida's 9th congressional district due to his prior nomination in 2024 and dominant fundraising edge, with over $2.3 million raised compared to far smaller totals from rivals. The open primary features five candidates, including businessman Marcus Carter, former USCIS official Jorge Malavet, retired pastor Howard Steven Rance, and commercial pilot Justin Story, creating a fragmented field where name recognition and resources often determine outcomes in Florida House contests. No major endorsements or polling shifts have emerged recently to alter trader consensus around these probabilities ahead of the primary.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于托马斯·查利福 61%
马库斯·卡特 29.1%
Jorge Malavet 8%
霍华德·史蒂文·兰斯 5.1%
$19,805 交易量
$19,805 交易量
2026-08-18
托马斯·查利福
50%
马库斯·卡特
29%
Jorge Malavet
8%
霍华德·史蒂文·兰斯
5%
贾斯汀·斯托里
4%
托马斯·查利福 61%
马库斯·卡特 29.1%
Jorge Malavet 8%
霍华德·史蒂文·兰斯 5.1%
$19,805 交易量
$19,805 交易量
2026-08-18
托马斯·查利福
$1,290 交易量
50%
马库斯·卡特
$552 交易量
29%
Jorge Malavet
$2,328 交易量
8%
霍华德·史蒂文·兰斯
$7,786 交易量
5%
贾斯汀·斯托里
$7,848 交易量
4%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Thomas Chalifoux holds a clear lead in the August 18 Republican primary for Florida's 9th congressional district due to his prior nomination in 2024 and dominant fundraising edge, with over $2.3 million raised compared to far smaller totals from rivals. The open primary features five candidates, including businessman Marcus Carter, former USCIS official Jorge Malavet, retired pastor Howard Steven Rance, and commercial pilot Justin Story, creating a fragmented field where name recognition and resources often determine outcomes in Florida House contests. No major endorsements or polling shifts have emerged recently to alter trader consensus around these probabilities ahead of the primary.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
市场开放时间： Dec 23, 2025, 5:08 PM ET
交易量
$19,805结束日期
2026-08-18市场开放时间
Dec 23, 2025, 5:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Thomas Chalifoux holds a clear lead in the August 18 Republican primary for Florida's 9th congressional district due to his prior nomination in 2024 and dominant fundraising edge, with over $2.3 million raised compared to far smaller totals from rivals. The open primary features five candidates, including businessman Marcus Carter, former USCIS official Jorge Malavet, retired pastor Howard Steven Rance, and commercial pilot Justin Story, creating a fragmented field where name recognition and resources often determine outcomes in Florida House contests. No major endorsements or polling shifts have emerged recently to alter trader consensus around these probabilities ahead of the primary.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$19,805结束日期
2026-08-18市场开放时间
Dec 23, 2025, 5:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Thomas Chalifoux holds a clear lead in the August 18 Republican primary for Florida's 9th congressional district due to his prior nomination in 2024 and dominant fundraising edge, with over $2.3 million raised compared to far smaller totals from rivals. The open primary features five candidates, including businessman Marcus Carter, former USCIS official Jorge Malavet, retired pastor Howard Steven Rance, and commercial pilot Justin Story, creating a fragmented field where name recognition and resources often determine outcomes in Florida House contests. No major endorsements or polling shifts have emerged recently to alter trader consensus around these probabilities ahead of the primary.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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