Persistent inflation above the Federal Reserve’s 2% target, with April 2026 CPI at 3.8%, and resilient economic growth have kept the 10-year Treasury yield near 4.45% in early June after a mid-May spike above 4.6%. Elevated fiscal deficits and heavy Treasury supply continue to support a higher term premium, limiting downside in yields even as the Fed holds the federal funds rate steady near 3.50–3.75%. Geopolitical tensions have added volatility through energy prices. Key near-term catalysts include the June FOMC meeting, upcoming CPI and employment reports, and any shifts in rate-hike probabilities that could influence whether yields test new highs before 2027.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于2027年之前， 10年期美国国债收益率会有多高？
2027年之前， 10年期美国国债收益率会有多高？
$235,936 交易量
2026-12-31
4.8%
25%
5.0%
14%
5.2%
6%
5.5%
6%
5.7%
5%
6.0%
3%
$235,936 交易量
4.8%
$50,001 交易量
25%
5.0%
$57,486 交易量
14%
5.2%
$13,889 交易量
6%
5.5%
$2,240 交易量
6%
5.7%
$3,779 交易量
5%
6.0%
$2,255 交易量
3%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between December 9, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).Persistent inflation above the Federal Reserve’s 2% target, with April 2026 CPI at 3.8%, and resilient economic growth have kept the 10-year Treasury yield near 4.45% in early June after a mid-May spike above 4.6%. Elevated fiscal deficits and heavy Treasury supply continue to support a higher term premium, limiting downside in yields even as the Fed holds the federal funds rate steady near 3.50–3.75%. Geopolitical tensions have added volatility through energy prices. Key near-term catalysts include the June FOMC meeting, upcoming CPI and employment reports, and any shifts in rate-hike probabilities that could influence whether yields test new highs before 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
市场开放时间： Nov 12, 2025, 5:48 PM ET
交易量
$235,936结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Nov 12, 2025, 5:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between December 9, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).Persistent inflation above the Federal Reserve’s 2% target, with April 2026 CPI at 3.8%, and resilient economic growth have kept the 10-year Treasury yield near 4.45% in early June after a mid-May spike above 4.6%. Elevated fiscal deficits and heavy Treasury supply continue to support a higher term premium, limiting downside in yields even as the Fed holds the federal funds rate steady near 3.50–3.75%. Geopolitical tensions have added volatility through energy prices. Key near-term catalysts include the June FOMC meeting, upcoming CPI and employment reports, and any shifts in rate-hike probabilities that could influence whether yields test new highs before 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
交易量
$235,936结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Nov 12, 2025, 5:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Persistent inflation above the Federal Reserve’s 2% target, with April 2026 CPI at 3.8%, and resilient economic growth have kept the 10-year Treasury yield near 4.45% in early June after a mid-May spike above 4.6%. Elevated fiscal deficits and heavy Treasury supply continue to support a higher term premium, limiting downside in yields even as the Fed holds the federal funds rate steady near 3.50–3.75%. Geopolitical tensions have added volatility through energy prices. Key near-term catalysts include the June FOMC meeting, upcoming CPI and employment reports, and any shifts in rate-hike probabilities that could influence whether yields test new highs before 2027.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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