Traders assign a 69.5% implied probability to zero dissents at the June 16-17 FOMC meeting, reflecting expectations that incoming data will support a consensus hold at the 3.50-3.75% federal funds target range. The April meeting produced four dissents amid elevated inflation readings driven by energy price spikes, with three officials opposing easing-bias language in the statement. Resilient labor market conditions, stable unemployment near full-employment estimates, and the upcoming June 10 CPI release are viewed as key swing factors that could align participants around a neutral, data-dependent stance. This pricing embeds the view that forward guidance will avoid the divisive signals that triggered recent hawkish pushback while acknowledging upside inflation risks from tariffs and commodities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?
How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?
0 70%
1 17%
2 10%
3 3.6%
$27,338 交易量
$27,338 交易量
2026-06-17
0
70%
1
17%
2
10%
3
4%
4+
2%
0 70%
1 17%
2 10%
3 3.6%
$27,338 交易量
$27,338 交易量
2026-06-17
0
$15,756 交易量
70%
1
$670 交易量
17%
2
$520 交易量
10%
3
$1,627 交易量
4%
4+
$8,765 交易量
2%
The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for June 16-17, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on June 17, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Traders assign a 69.5% implied probability to zero dissents at the June 16-17 FOMC meeting, reflecting expectations that incoming data will support a consensus hold at the 3.50-3.75% federal funds target range. The April meeting produced four dissents amid elevated inflation readings driven by energy price spikes, with three officials opposing easing-bias language in the statement. Resilient labor market conditions, stable unemployment near full-employment estimates, and the upcoming June 10 CPI release are viewed as key swing factors that could align participants around a neutral, data-dependent stance. This pricing embeds the view that forward guidance will avoid the divisive signals that triggered recent hawkish pushback while acknowledging upside inflation risks from tariffs and commodities.
The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for June 16-17, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on June 17, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市场开放时间： Apr 29, 2026, 7:50 PM ET
交易量
$27,338结束日期
2026-06-17市场开放时间
Apr 29, 2026, 7:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for June 16-17, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on June 17, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Traders assign a 69.5% implied probability to zero dissents at the June 16-17 FOMC meeting, reflecting expectations that incoming data will support a consensus hold at the 3.50-3.75% federal funds target range. The April meeting produced four dissents amid elevated inflation readings driven by energy price spikes, with three officials opposing easing-bias language in the statement. Resilient labor market conditions, stable unemployment near full-employment estimates, and the upcoming June 10 CPI release are viewed as key swing factors that could align participants around a neutral, data-dependent stance. This pricing embeds the view that forward guidance will avoid the divisive signals that triggered recent hawkish pushback while acknowledging upside inflation risks from tariffs and commodities.
The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for June 16-17, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on June 17, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$27,338结束日期
2026-06-17市场开放时间
Apr 29, 2026, 7:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign a 69.5% implied probability to zero dissents at the June 16-17 FOMC meeting, reflecting expectations that incoming data will support a consensus hold at the 3.50-3.75% federal funds target range. The April meeting produced four dissents amid elevated inflation readings driven by energy price spikes, with three officials opposing easing-bias language in the statement. Resilient labor market conditions, stable unemployment near full-employment estimates, and the upcoming June 10 CPI release are viewed as key swing factors that could align participants around a neutral, data-dependent stance. This pricing embeds the view that forward guidance will avoid the divisive signals that triggered recent hawkish pushback while acknowledging upside inflation risks from tariffs and commodities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题