Iván Cepeda, the Historic Pact candidate backed by outgoing President Gustavo Petro, entered the May 31 first round as a polling leader but captured 40.9 percent of the vote according to official preliminary counts, placing him second behind Abelardo de la Espriella. This outcome consolidated trader expectations around the 40-45 percent bracket, reflecting Cepeda's ability to retain the left's core coalition support amid a fragmented field while falling short of the 50 percent threshold needed to avoid a runoff. The June 21 runoff and any final certification adjustments represent the primary remaining variables that could shift the recorded share, though preliminary tallies have historically aligned closely with certified results.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于40-45% 98.2%
50-55% 2.4%
45-50% 1.0%
35-40% <1%
$26,786 交易量
$26,786 交易量
2026-05-31
<30%
1%
30-35%
1%
35-40%
1%
40-45%
98%
45-50%
1%
50-55%
2%
55%+
<1%
40-45% 98.2%
50-55% 2.4%
45-50% 1.0%
35-40% <1%
$26,786 交易量
$26,786 交易量
2026-05-31
<30%
$4,870 交易量
1%
30-35%
$1,923 交易量
1%
35-40%
$3,628 交易量
1%
40-45%
$6,829 交易量
98%
45-50%
$3,104 交易量
1%
50-55%
$3,018 交易量
2%
55%+
$3,414 交易量
<1%
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Iván Cepeda wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Iván Cepeda, not any coalition of which he may be a part.
If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.Iván Cepeda, the Historic Pact candidate backed by outgoing President Gustavo Petro, entered the May 31 first round as a polling leader but captured 40.9 percent of the vote according to official preliminary counts, placing him second behind Abelardo de la Espriella. This outcome consolidated trader expectations around the 40-45 percent bracket, reflecting Cepeda's ability to retain the left's core coalition support amid a fragmented field while falling short of the 50 percent threshold needed to avoid a runoff. The June 21 runoff and any final certification adjustments represent the primary remaining variables that could shift the recorded share, though preliminary tallies have historically aligned closely with certified results.
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Iván Cepeda wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Iván Cepeda, not any coalition of which he may be a part.
If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Iván Cepeda wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Iván Cepeda, not any coalition of which he may be a part.
If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
市场开放时间： May 27, 2026, 10:17 PM ET
交易量
$26,786结束日期
2026-05-31市场开放时间
May 27, 2026, 10:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Iván Cepeda wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Iván Cepeda, not any coalition of which he may be a part.
If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.Iván Cepeda, the Historic Pact candidate backed by outgoing President Gustavo Petro, entered the May 31 first round as a polling leader but captured 40.9 percent of the vote according to official preliminary counts, placing him second behind Abelardo de la Espriella. This outcome consolidated trader expectations around the 40-45 percent bracket, reflecting Cepeda's ability to retain the left's core coalition support amid a fragmented field while falling short of the 50 percent threshold needed to avoid a runoff. The June 21 runoff and any final certification adjustments represent the primary remaining variables that could shift the recorded share, though preliminary tallies have historically aligned closely with certified results.
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Iván Cepeda wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Iván Cepeda, not any coalition of which he may be a part.
If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Iván Cepeda wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Iván Cepeda, not any coalition of which he may be a part.
If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
交易量
$26,786结束日期
2026-05-31市场开放时间
May 27, 2026, 10:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Iván Cepeda, the Historic Pact candidate backed by outgoing President Gustavo Petro, entered the May 31 first round as a polling leader but captured 40.9 percent of the vote according to official preliminary counts, placing him second behind Abelardo de la Espriella. This outcome consolidated trader expectations around the 40-45 percent bracket, reflecting Cepeda's ability to retain the left's core coalition support amid a fragmented field while falling short of the 50 percent threshold needed to avoid a runoff. The June 21 runoff and any final certification adjustments represent the primary remaining variables that could shift the recorded share, though preliminary tallies have historically aligned closely with certified results.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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