**Trader consensus at 98.9% against full removal of Jones Act domestic shipping requirements by June 30 stems primarily from the absence of any active legislation or executive action positioned to repeal or suspend the 1920 cabotage law’s U.S.-build, ownership, flag, and crewing mandates in the brief remaining window.** Congressional calendars, committee bottlenecks, and entrenched opposition from domestic maritime unions and shipbuilders have blocked meaningful progress, while national-security and supply-chain continuity arguments continue to anchor the status quo. Recent temporary waivers tied to Middle East disruptions illustrate the distinction between limited, time-bound suspensions and statutory overhaul; traders price in these structural barriers and the multi-month timelines typically required for change. Tail-risk scenarios remain limited to an unforeseen emergency executive order or last-minute procedural maneuver, both viewed as low-probability given procedural and political realities as the June 30 resolution date approaches.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
$52,674 交易量
$52,674 交易量
2026-06-30
是
$52,674 交易量
$52,674 交易量
2026-06-30
The Jones Act of 1920 requires that all goods transported by water between U.S. ports be carried by vessels which are built in the U.S., owned by U.S. citizens, flagged to the U.S., and manned by U.S. crews.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Jones Act is repealed, altered, or invalidated, or new legislation becomes law, such that any of the Jones Act domestic shipping restrictions to vessels which are built in the U.S., owned by U.S. citizens, flagged to the U.S., and manned by U.S. crews are fully removed by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A removal of any of the listed domestic shipping requirements will count. For example, the removal of the domestic shipping requirements for ships to be built in and flagged to the U.S., without the removal of the requirements for those ships to be owned by U.S. citizens to be manned by U.S. crews, would count.
New legislation includes any congressional legislation or any executive order, proclamation, memorandum, or other legally-binding executive action which effectively removes one of the listed Jones Act requirements.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the U.S. government. If official information is unavailable or unclear, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Trader consensus at 98.9% against full removal of Jones Act domestic shipping requirements by June 30 stems primarily from the absence of any active legislation or executive action positioned to repeal or suspend the 1920 cabotage law’s U.S.-build, ownership, flag, and crewing mandates in the brief remaining window.** Congressional calendars, committee bottlenecks, and entrenched opposition from domestic maritime unions and shipbuilders have blocked meaningful progress, while national-security and supply-chain continuity arguments continue to anchor the status quo. Recent temporary waivers tied to Middle East disruptions illustrate the distinction between limited, time-bound suspensions and statutory overhaul; traders price in these structural barriers and the multi-month timelines typically required for change. Tail-risk scenarios remain limited to an unforeseen emergency executive order or last-minute procedural maneuver, both viewed as low-probability given procedural and political realities as the June 30 resolution date approaches.
The Jones Act of 1920 requires that all goods transported by water between U.S. ports be carried by vessels which are built in the U.S., owned by U.S. citizens, flagged to the U.S., and manned by U.S. crews.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Jones Act is repealed, altered, or invalidated, or new legislation becomes law, such that any of the Jones Act domestic shipping restrictions to vessels which are built in the U.S., owned by U.S. citizens, flagged to the U.S., and manned by U.S. crews are fully removed by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A removal of any of the listed domestic shipping requirements will count. For example, the removal of the domestic shipping requirements for ships to be built in and flagged to the U.S., without the removal of the requirements for those ships to be owned by U.S. citizens to be manned by U.S. crews, would count.
New legislation includes any congressional legislation or any executive order, proclamation, memorandum, or other legally-binding executive action which effectively removes one of the listed Jones Act requirements.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the U.S. government. If official information is unavailable or unclear, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Jones Act is repealed, altered, or invalidated, or new legislation becomes law, such that any of the Jones Act domestic shipping restrictions to vessels which are built in the U.S., owned by U.S. citizens, flagged to the U.S., and manned by U.S. crews are fully removed by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A removal of any of the listed domestic shipping requirements will count. For example, the removal of the domestic shipping requirements for ships to be built in and flagged to the U.S., without the removal of the requirements for those ships to be owned by U.S. citizens to be manned by U.S. crews, would count.
New legislation includes any congressional legislation or any executive order, proclamation, memorandum, or other legally-binding executive action which effectively removes one of the listed Jones Act requirements.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the U.S. government. If official information is unavailable or unclear, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Mar 9, 2026, 12:50 PM ET
交易量
$52,674结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Mar 9, 2026, 12:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Jones Act of 1920 requires that all goods transported by water between U.S. ports be carried by vessels which are built in the U.S., owned by U.S. citizens, flagged to the U.S., and manned by U.S. crews.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Jones Act is repealed, altered, or invalidated, or new legislation becomes law, such that any of the Jones Act domestic shipping restrictions to vessels which are built in the U.S., owned by U.S. citizens, flagged to the U.S., and manned by U.S. crews are fully removed by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A removal of any of the listed domestic shipping requirements will count. For example, the removal of the domestic shipping requirements for ships to be built in and flagged to the U.S., without the removal of the requirements for those ships to be owned by U.S. citizens to be manned by U.S. crews, would count.
New legislation includes any congressional legislation or any executive order, proclamation, memorandum, or other legally-binding executive action which effectively removes one of the listed Jones Act requirements.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the U.S. government. If official information is unavailable or unclear, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Trader consensus at 98.9% against full removal of Jones Act domestic shipping requirements by June 30 stems primarily from the absence of any active legislation or executive action positioned to repeal or suspend the 1920 cabotage law’s U.S.-build, ownership, flag, and crewing mandates in the brief remaining window.** Congressional calendars, committee bottlenecks, and entrenched opposition from domestic maritime unions and shipbuilders have blocked meaningful progress, while national-security and supply-chain continuity arguments continue to anchor the status quo. Recent temporary waivers tied to Middle East disruptions illustrate the distinction between limited, time-bound suspensions and statutory overhaul; traders price in these structural barriers and the multi-month timelines typically required for change. Tail-risk scenarios remain limited to an unforeseen emergency executive order or last-minute procedural maneuver, both viewed as low-probability given procedural and political realities as the June 30 resolution date approaches.
The Jones Act of 1920 requires that all goods transported by water between U.S. ports be carried by vessels which are built in the U.S., owned by U.S. citizens, flagged to the U.S., and manned by U.S. crews.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Jones Act is repealed, altered, or invalidated, or new legislation becomes law, such that any of the Jones Act domestic shipping restrictions to vessels which are built in the U.S., owned by U.S. citizens, flagged to the U.S., and manned by U.S. crews are fully removed by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A removal of any of the listed domestic shipping requirements will count. For example, the removal of the domestic shipping requirements for ships to be built in and flagged to the U.S., without the removal of the requirements for those ships to be owned by U.S. citizens to be manned by U.S. crews, would count.
New legislation includes any congressional legislation or any executive order, proclamation, memorandum, or other legally-binding executive action which effectively removes one of the listed Jones Act requirements.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the U.S. government. If official information is unavailable or unclear, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Jones Act is repealed, altered, or invalidated, or new legislation becomes law, such that any of the Jones Act domestic shipping restrictions to vessels which are built in the U.S., owned by U.S. citizens, flagged to the U.S., and manned by U.S. crews are fully removed by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A removal of any of the listed domestic shipping requirements will count. For example, the removal of the domestic shipping requirements for ships to be built in and flagged to the U.S., without the removal of the requirements for those ships to be owned by U.S. citizens to be manned by U.S. crews, would count.
New legislation includes any congressional legislation or any executive order, proclamation, memorandum, or other legally-binding executive action which effectively removes one of the listed Jones Act requirements.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the U.S. government. If official information is unavailable or unclear, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$52,674结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Mar 9, 2026, 12:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Trader consensus at 98.9% against full removal of Jones Act domestic shipping requirements by June 30 stems primarily from the absence of any active legislation or executive action positioned to repeal or suspend the 1920 cabotage law’s U.S.-build, ownership, flag, and crewing mandates in the brief remaining window.** Congressional calendars, committee bottlenecks, and entrenched opposition from domestic maritime unions and shipbuilders have blocked meaningful progress, while national-security and supply-chain continuity arguments continue to anchor the status quo. Recent temporary waivers tied to Middle East disruptions illustrate the distinction between limited, time-bound suspensions and statutory overhaul; traders price in these structural barriers and the multi-month timelines typically required for change. Tail-risk scenarios remain limited to an unforeseen emergency executive order or last-minute procedural maneuver, both viewed as low-probability given procedural and political realities as the June 30 resolution date approaches.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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