Incumbent Karen Bass, City Councilmember Nithya Raman, and newcomer Spencer Pratt remain locked in a tight three-way contest ahead of the June 2 nonpartisan primary, where the top two finishers advance to the November runoff. Recent UC Berkeley-Los Angeles Times polling placed Bass at 26%, Raman at 25%, and Pratt at 22% among likely voters, with the latter two each gaining eight points since March while Bass held steady. Final-week campaigning has featured mutual attacks over homelessness, wildfire response, and affordability, alongside celebrity endorsements splitting support. Traders' heavy weighting toward a Bass-Pratt pairing reflects Pratt's rapid rise from a low base and Raman's more progressive positioning in a fragmented field, though any late shifts in turnout or undecided voters could alter the outcome before polls close.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Bass & Pratt 73%
Bass & Raman 23%
Raman & Pratt 2.4%
1st Round Outright Winner 1.6%
$14,904 交易量
$14,904 交易量
Bass & Pratt
73%
Bass & Raman
23%
Raman & Pratt
2%
1st Round Outright Winner
2%
Other
1%
Bass & Pratt 73%
Bass & Raman 23%
Raman & Pratt 2.4%
1st Round Outright Winner 1.6%
$14,904 交易量
$14,904 交易量
Bass & Pratt
73%
Bass & Raman
23%
Raman & Pratt
2%
1st Round Outright Winner
2%
Other
1%
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral election.
If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.
If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral election, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the results of the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the city and county of Los Angeles.
市场开放时间: May 15, 2026, 6:44 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral election.
If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.
If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral election, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the results of the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the city and county of Los Angeles.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Karen Bass, City Councilmember Nithya Raman, and newcomer Spencer Pratt remain locked in a tight three-way contest ahead of the June 2 nonpartisan primary, where the top two finishers advance to the November runoff. Recent UC Berkeley-Los Angeles Times polling placed Bass at 26%, Raman at 25%, and Pratt at 22% among likely voters, with the latter two each gaining eight points since March while Bass held steady. Final-week campaigning has featured mutual attacks over homelessness, wildfire response, and affordability, alongside celebrity endorsements splitting support. Traders' heavy weighting toward a Bass-Pratt pairing reflects Pratt's rapid rise from a low base and Raman's more progressive positioning in a fragmented field, though any late shifts in turnout or undecided voters could alter the outcome before polls close.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题