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icon for LA Mayoral Election: Who will advance to the 2nd round?

LA Mayoral Election: Who will advance to the 2nd round?

icon for LA Mayoral Election: Who will advance to the 2nd round?

LA Mayoral Election: Who will advance to the 2nd round?

Bass & Pratt 73%

Bass & Raman 23%

Raman & Pratt 2.5%

1st Round Outright Winner 1.6%

Polymarket

$14,904 交易量

Bass & Pratt 73%

Bass & Raman 23%

Raman & Pratt 2.5%

1st Round Outright Winner 1.6%

Polymarket

$14,904 交易量

Bass & Pratt

$11,225 交易量

73%

Bass & Raman

$1,656 交易量

23%

Raman & Pratt

$1,290 交易量

2%

1st Round Outright Winner

$854 交易量

2%

Other

$667 交易量

1%

The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral election. If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”. If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral election, this market will resolve to “Other”. If the results of the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the city and county of Los Angeles.Incumbent Karen Bass, City Councilmember Nithya Raman, and newcomer Spencer Pratt remain locked in a tight three-way contest ahead of the June 2 nonpartisan primary, where the top two finishers advance to the November runoff. Recent UC Berkeley-Los Angeles Times polling placed Bass at 26%, Raman at 25%, and Pratt at 22% among likely voters, with the latter two each gaining eight points since March while Bass held steady. Final-week campaigning has featured mutual attacks over homelessness, wildfire response, and affordability, alongside celebrity endorsements splitting support. Traders' heavy weighting toward a Bass-Pratt pairing reflects Pratt's rapid rise from a low base and Raman's more progressive positioning in a fragmented field, though any late shifts in turnout or undecided voters could alter the outcome before polls close.

The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral election.

If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.

If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral election, this market will resolve to “Other”.

If the results of the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the city and county of Los Angeles.
交易量
$14,904
结束日期
2026-06-02
市场开放时间
May 15, 2026, 6:44 PM ET
The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral election. If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”. If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral election, this market will resolve to “Other”. If the results of the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the city and county of Los Angeles.
The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral election. If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”. If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral election, this market will resolve to “Other”. If the results of the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the city and county of Los Angeles.Incumbent Karen Bass, City Councilmember Nithya Raman, and newcomer Spencer Pratt remain locked in a tight three-way contest ahead of the June 2 nonpartisan primary, where the top two finishers advance to the November runoff. Recent UC Berkeley-Los Angeles Times polling placed Bass at 26%, Raman at 25%, and Pratt at 22% among likely voters, with the latter two each gaining eight points since March while Bass held steady. Final-week campaigning has featured mutual attacks over homelessness, wildfire response, and affordability, alongside celebrity endorsements splitting support. Traders' heavy weighting toward a Bass-Pratt pairing reflects Pratt's rapid rise from a low base and Raman's more progressive positioning in a fragmented field, though any late shifts in turnout or undecided voters could alter the outcome before polls close.

The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral election.

If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.

If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral election, this market will resolve to “Other”.

If the results of the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the city and county of Los Angeles.
交易量
$14,904
结束日期
2026-06-02
市场开放时间
May 15, 2026, 6:44 PM ET
The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral election. If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”. If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral election, this market will resolve to “Other”. If the results of the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the city and county of Los Angeles.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"LA Mayoral Election: Who will advance to the 2nd round?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 5 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"Bass & Pratt",概率为 73%,其次是"Bass & Raman",概率为 23%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 73¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 73%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"LA Mayoral Election: Who will advance to the 2nd round?"已产生 $14.9K 的总交易量(自May 16, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"LA Mayoral Election: Who will advance to the 2nd round?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 5 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"LA Mayoral Election: Who will advance to the 2nd round?"的当前领先者是"Bass & Pratt",概率为 73%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 73%。紧随其后的结果是"Bass & Raman",概率为 23%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"LA Mayoral Election: Who will advance to the 2nd round?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。